AEK Larnaca 1:1 APOEL Nicosia: xG & match report · Cypriot First Division

Monday, 27/10/2025 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca Home 0.34 xG

APOEL Nicosia Away 1.21 xG

11 APOEL Nicosia had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AEK Larnaca APOEL Nicosia

Shots: 8; 11
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 4; 6
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AEK Larnaca

1.65 xG created 0.90 xGA

D 2.97 created, 0.83 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
L 0.28 created, 1.15 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
W 1.84 created, 1.70 conceded against Aris Limassol
W 2.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
L 0.87 created, 1.25 conceded against Pafos FC
W 1.37 created, 0.00 conceded against Enosis Neon Paralimniou

APOEL Nicosia

1.93 xG created 0.44 xGA

L 0.85 created, 0.28 conceded against Pafos FC
W 1.17 created, 0.18 conceded against Enosis Neon Paralimniou
W 1.54 created, 0.38 conceded against Akritas Chlorakas
W 0.53 created, 0.88 conceded against Apollon Limassol
W 3.90 created, 0.36 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
D 3.58 created, 0.55 conceded against Olympiakos Nicosia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.