xgEdge

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 17:00

Full time
Match report · Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca 2:2 Pafos FC

AEK Larnaca Home 1.56 xG
Pafos FC Away 1.90 xG
22 Pafos FC had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AEK Larnaca Pafos FC
Shots
8
16
On target
4
5
Inside the box
4
12
xG per shot
0.20
0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AEK Larnaca

1.21 xG created 1.33 xGA

  • L 2.02 created, 1.62 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • D 1.60 created, 1.02 conceded against Pafos FC
  • W 0.83 created, 0.70 conceded against Aris Limassol
  • L 0.81 created, 0.65 conceded against APOEL Nicosia
  • W 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • D 0.84 created, 2.60 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
Pafos FC

1.30 xG created 1.35 xGA

  • D 0.66 created, 1.19 conceded against Aris Limassol
  • D 1.02 created, 1.60 conceded against AEK Larnaca
  • D 1.92 created, 1.54 conceded against APOEL Nicosia
  • L 0.93 created, 0.89 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • L 1.91 created, 2.05 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • W 1.34 created, 0.85 conceded against Aris Limassol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.