xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 18:00

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Match report · Cypriot First Division

AEL Limassol 2:1 Aris Limassol

AEL Limassol Home 0.93 xG
Aris Limassol Away 1.79 xG
21 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

AEL Limassol Aris Limassol
Shots
6
14
On target
3
2
Inside the box
4
8
xG per shot
0.16
0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AEL Limassol

0.90 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • W 0.84 created, 1.22 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
  • D 0.59 created, 0.56 conceded against Olympiakos Nicosia
  • W 1.37 created, 0.66 conceded against Ethnikos Achnas
  • L 0.96 created, 1.44 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • W 0.67 created, 0.69 conceded against Akritas Chlorakas
  • L 0.94 created, 1.34 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
Aris Limassol

1.56 xG created 1.02 xGA

  • W 1.90 created, 0.88 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • D 2.45 created, 1.36 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
  • D 1.03 created, 0.61 conceded against Olympiakos Nicosia
  • W 0.74 created, 0.41 conceded against AEK Larnaca
  • W 1.19 created, 0.45 conceded against Ethnikos Achnas
  • L 2.07 created, 2.38 conceded against Omonia Nicosia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AEL Limassol: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.