Friday, 28/08/2026 at 18:00
Full timeEnosis Neon Ypsona FC 0:3 ALS Omonia
ALS Omonia were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 36%. They won 3–0. The biggest difference was Enosis Neon Ypsona FC's attack: 1.78 xG against 1.29 projected (+0.49). ALS Omonia produced 0.87 xG against 1.34 projected (−0.47).
The model against the result
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
- 33%
- Draw
- 31%
- ALS Omonia
- 36% What happened
Data coverage The model has never seen one of these sides play. Every figure here rests on an exactly average stand-in for it, which is a guess in a projection's clothes.
Projected vs produced
Enosis Neon Ypsona FC produced 0.49 xG more than projected
Projected before kick-off Produced on the night
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 16
- 5
- On target
- 1
- 3
- Inside the box
- 10
- 2
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.17
Recent form
1.52 xG created 1.92 xGA
- W 1.22 created, 1.12 conceded against Akritas Chlorakas
- W 1.64 created, 2.83 conceded against Ethnikos Achnas
- D 2.53 created, 2.09 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
- D 1.13 created, 1.84 conceded against AEL Limassol
- L 1.47 created, 3.25 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
- D 1.16 created, 0.36 conceded against Enosis Neon Paralimniou
No match with expected goals behind it yet.
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC sample
- 20 matches
- ALS Omonia sample
- 0 matches
- Computed
- 7 hours before kick-off
Warnings
- There is not a single played match in the database for ALS Omonia — the estimate for that side is the league average and nothing else.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.