What Omonia Nicosia have left to play in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
5 matches ahead in Cypriot First Division
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 5 matches ahead of Omonia Nicosia in Cypriot First Division rates 1.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Very favourable. 4 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.93 projected xG a match from them and 8.3 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is AEK Larnaca away, banded 2 of 5 — Favourable, against an attack rated 62/99 and a defence rated 48/99. Worth reading those figures against: the model has not priced 1 of these 5 matches; the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Karmiotissa Polemidion away Fri 09/10
Projected xG 2.14 – 0.92 Omonia Nicosia win 65%
AEK Larnaca away Mon 26/10
Projected xG 1.72 – 1.14 Omonia Nicosia win 50%
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Open the match page for Karmiotissa Polemidion
Fri 09/10 Away Karmiotissa Polemidion Cypriot First Division
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 23/99Projected xG 2.14 – 0.92 Projected xPts 2.18- Karmiotissa Polemidion
- 12%
- Draw
- 22%
- Omonia Nicosia
- 65%
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Open the match page for Olympiakos Nicosia
Mon 19/10 Home Olympiakos Nicosia Cypriot First Division
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 50/99Projected xG 1.93 – 0.80 Projected xPts 2.16- Omonia Nicosia
- 64%
- Draw
- 24%
- Olympiakos Nicosia
- 12%
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Open the match page for AEK Larnaca
Mon 26/10 Away AEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.72 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.78- AEK Larnaca
- 22%
- Draw
- 28%
- Omonia Nicosia
- 50%
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Open the match page for AEL Limassol
Sat 31/10 Home AEL Limassol Cypriot First Division
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.93 – 0.81 Projected xPts 2.15- Omonia Nicosia
- 63%
- Draw
- 24%
- AEL Limassol
- 12%
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Open the match page for Anorthosis Famagusta
Sun 08/11 Away Anorthosis Famagusta Cypriot First Division
Not priced yet, so there is no band for it Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 43/99
Cypriot First Division publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
After the regular season Cypriot First Division splits into groups, and those fixtures are set once the table decides who is in which.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Cypriot First Division.
Fixture difficulty in Cypriot First Division
Reads each matchup for Omonia Nicosia: the band is cut from the model's chances of Omonia Nicosia winning and losing the match, so Omonia Nicosia's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 14 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Cypriot First Division's average club, with no venue and nothing of Omonia Nicosia's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 14 hardest of 14
- Karmiotissa Polemidion Away −0.48
- Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.15
- AEK Larnaca Away +0.11
- AEL Limassol Home −0.14
- Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.31
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Cypriot First Division and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.