MTK Budapest 2:2 Puskás Akadémia: xG & match report · NB I (Hungary)

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 14:45

Full time

Match report · NB I (Hungary)

MTK Budapest Home 0.86 xG

Puskás Akadémia Away 1.75 xG

22 Puskás Akadémia had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

MTK Budapest Puskás Akadémia

Shots: 14; 8
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 8; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.22

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

MTK Budapest

1.56 xG created 2.19 xGA

L 1.27 created, 2.99 conceded against Paksi FC
L 1.72 created, 1.42 conceded against Újpest
D 1.30 created, 3.06 conceded against Zalaegerszegi TE
W 1.40 created, 1.79 conceded against Kisvárda FC
L 2.58 created, 2.27 conceded against Kazincbarcikai SC
L 1.06 created, 1.58 conceded against Nyiregyháza Spartacus

Puskás Akadémia

1.39 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 1.45 created, 0.99 conceded against Debreceni VSC
W 1.29 created, 1.16 conceded against Diósgyőri VTK
L 0.58 created, 1.51 conceded against ETO FC Győr
L 2.44 created, 3.85 conceded against Paksi FC
W 0.39 created, 0.51 conceded against Újpest
L 2.20 created, 1.03 conceded against Zalaegerszegi TE

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

MTK Budapest: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Puskás Akadémia 1:1 MTK Budapest 25/10/2025 xG 0.80 – 3.39

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.