xgEdge

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 17:00

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Match report · Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Wien 2:5 SK Sturm Graz

Austria Wien Home 2.07 xG
SK Sturm Graz Away 3.35 xG
25 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Austria Wien SK Sturm Graz
Shots
20
18
On target
8
9
Inside the box
15
13
xG per shot
0.10
0.19

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Austria Wien

1.89 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • L 1.35 created, 1.65 conceded against Wolfsberger AC
  • W 2.00 created, 1.47 conceded against SK Sturm Graz
  • W 0.97 created, 0.15 conceded against SK Rapid Wien
  • L 1.29 created, 0.78 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
  • D 3.00 created, 2.55 conceded against LASK
  • W 2.76 created, 1.09 conceded against SV Ried
SK Sturm Graz

1.40 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • L 1.47 created, 2.00 conceded against Austria Wien
  • W 0.69 created, 0.55 conceded against SV Ried
  • L 0.66 created, 0.73 conceded against WSG Tirol
  • W 1.67 created, 1.09 conceded against FC Blau Weiss Linz
  • D 2.70 created, 0.83 conceded against Wolfsberger AC
  • W 1.20 created, 0.74 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.