What SK Sturm Graz have left to play in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
3 matches ahead in Austrian Bundesliga
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 3 matches ahead of SK Sturm Graz in Austrian Bundesliga rates 2.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.77 projected xG a match from them and 5.6 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Austria Wien away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 33/99 and a defence rated 56/99.
The run at a glance
Grazer AK 1902 home Sun 18/10
Projected xG 1.88 – 0.93 SK Sturm Graz win 59%
Austria Wien away Sat 10/10
Projected xG 1.41 – 1.06 SK Sturm Graz win 43%
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Open the match page for Austria Wien
Sat 10/10 Away Austria Wien Austrian Bundesliga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.41 – 1.06 Projected xPts 1.61- Austria Wien
- 25%
- Draw
- 31%
- SK Sturm Graz
- 43%
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Open the match page for Grazer AK 1902
Sun 18/10 Home Grazer AK 1902 Austrian Bundesliga
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.88 – 0.93 Projected xPts 2.03- SK Sturm Graz
- 59%
- Draw
- 26%
- Grazer AK 1902
- 15%
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Open the match page for SV Ried
Sun 25/10 Home SV Ried Austrian Bundesliga
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 2.02 – 1.10 Projected xPts 1.99- SK Sturm Graz
- 58%
- Draw
- 25%
- SV Ried
- 17%
Austrian Bundesliga publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
After the regular season Austrian Bundesliga splits into groups, and those fixtures are set once the table decides who is in which.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Austrian Bundesliga.
Fixture difficulty in Austrian Bundesliga
Reads each matchup for SK Sturm Graz: the band is cut from the model's chances of SK Sturm Graz winning and losing the match, so SK Sturm Graz's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 3 opponents
−0.23 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Austrian Bundesliga's average club, with no venue and nothing of SK Sturm Graz's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 3
−0.23 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures
- Austria Wien Away −0.22
- Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29
- SV Ried Home −0.17
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Austrian Bundesliga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.