1. FSV Mainz 05 0:1 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 0.90 xG · 13 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.79 xG · 19 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

40' Johan Bakayoko RB Leipzig · 0.04 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig

Shots: 13; 19
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 10; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.07; 1.46
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.35
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1.79 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 2.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.73 xG created 0.99 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 1.95 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

1.39 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.54 created, 1.63 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.23 created, 1.02 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.