FC Bayern München 5:0 Hamburger SV: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München Home 2.54 xG · 22 shots

Hamburger SV Away 0.58 xG · 9 shots

50 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
9' Aleksandar Pavlović FC Bayern München · 0.17 xG chance 2–0
26' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 3–0
29' Luis Díaz FC Bayern München · 0.03 xG chance 4–0
62' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.40 xG chance 5–0

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München Hamburger SV

Shots: 22; 9
On target: 12; 2
Inside the box: 12; 9
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.61; 0.48
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.08
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.75 for FC Bayern München and 0.57 for Hamburger SV.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Bayern München
Hamburger SV
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Bayern München

2.94 xG created 0.53 xGA

W 1.63 created, 0.54 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 4.24 created, 0.51 conceded against FC Augsburg

Hamburger SV

0.38 xG created 1.24 xGA

D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.35 created, 1.44 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.