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Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

FC St. Pauli Home 0.80 xG · 8 shots
1. FC Heidenheim Away 2.44 xG · 20 shots
21 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 35' Martijn Kaars FC St. Pauli · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
  2. 53' Martijn Kaars FC St. Pauli · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
  3. 64' Marvin Pieringer 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.99 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli 1. FC Heidenheim
Shots
8
20
On target
5
7
Inside the box
7
14
xG per shot
0.10
0.12
Open play xG
0.73
2.11
Set-piece xG
0.03
0.33
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.77 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Heidenheim · Marvin Pieringer · 64' · Goal · 2 m · 0.99 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Stefan Schimmer · 46' · No goal · 10 m · 0.42 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 18' · No goal · 12 m · 0.20 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 31' · No goal · 9 m · 0.15 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Patrick Mainka · 82' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Marvin Pieringer · 13' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 19' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Stefan Schimmer · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.12 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Arijon Ibrahimović · 62' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Stefan Schimmer · 67' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 53' · Goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Mathias Honsak · 89' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 22' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 35' · Goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Omar Haktab Traore · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Julian Niehues · 58' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Marvin Pieringer · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 18' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Adrian Beck · 47' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 29' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Mathias Honsak · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Omar Haktab Traore · 77' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Jonas Föhrenbach · 80' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Stefan Schimmer · 64' · No goal · 4 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Mathias Honsak · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Thomas Keller · 10' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Niklas Dorsch · 89' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Marnon Busch · 90' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC St. Pauli
  • 1. FC Heidenheim
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC St. Pauli

0.55 xG created 1.68 xGA

  • L 0.39 created, 2.26 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.88 created, 2.32 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 0.53 created, 1.02 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 0.72 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 0.64 created, 2.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 0.14 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim

0.83 xG created 1.77 xGA

  • L 1.11 created, 2.37 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • D 0.62 created, 0.94 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.12 created, 3.31 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 0.33 created, 2.18 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 0.59 created, 0.97 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 2.22 created, 0.84 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.