VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 19/09/2025 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart Home 2.11 xG · 17 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.95 xG · 9 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

43' Ermedin Demirović VfB Stuttgart · 0.30 xG chance 1–0
50' Bilal El Khannouss VfB Stuttgart · 0.10 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

VfB Stuttgart FC St. Pauli

Shots: 17; 9
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 11; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.27; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.97 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfB Stuttgart

1.03 xG created 1.24 xGA

L 1.72 created, 0.35 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 0.84 created, 1.82 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.53 created, 1.55 conceded against SC Freiburg

FC St. Pauli

1.54 xG created 0.90 xGA

D 1.29 created, 1.56 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.44 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 1.90 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.