Bolton Wanderers 2026/2027 · Championship

Form · last 5

D W L W W

+0.05 xGD / match

Expected goals 15.35 xG 18.64 xGA 15 scored · 18 conceded

Team strength 45 / 99 #14 in Championship League avg: 50

Bolton Wanderers right now

Bolton Wanderers sit 15th in Championship. A -3.29 xG difference sits behind 14 points from 11 matches, which suggests the results are a fair reflection of the performances. They have scored close to their 15.35 xG, while conceding slightly fewer than the 18.64 xG against them (−0.64).

How Bolton Wanderers compares

Attack #11 of 24 Defence #21 of 24 xG difference #17 of 24

Chance quality #18 of 24

Next match Championship · Fri 23/10 21:00

Home Middlesbrough

1.15 Projected expected goals 1.71

Model probability

Bolton Wanderers: 23%
Draw: 28%
Middlesbrough: 49%

Data coverage: Partial

Last result Championship · Sat 17/10

Away Southampton

0:0 Draw

Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.87
xG difference: -0.65

Every result →

Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals

The season so far 11 matches, as they add up -3.29 xG difference -0.30 xGD / match

Every match behind the chart above: Bolton Wanderers's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Expected goals	Expected goals conceded	xG difference	Goals scored
Sat 15/08	Preston North End	Home	2:1	1.10	1.12	-0.02	2
Sat 22/08	Queens Park Rangers	Away	0:0	0.19	1.82	-1.63	0
Sat 29/08	Lincoln City	Home	0:1	1.89	1.32	+0.57	0
Tue 01/09	Sheffield United	Away	2:3	1.91	2.21	-0.30	2
Sat 05/09	Millwall	Away	0:4	1.15	2.63	-1.48	0
Tue 08/09	West Ham United	Home	2:3	1.56	2.22	-0.66	2
Sat 12/09	Cardiff City	Home	1:0	0.48	1.79	-1.31	1
Sun 20/09	Norwich City	Away	4:3	1.10	0.69	+0.41	4
Sat 10/10	Stoke City	Home	1:2	3.13	0.74	+2.39	1
Tue 13/10	Wolverhampton	Away	3:1	1.62	2.23	-0.61	3
Sat 17/10	Southampton	Away	0:0	1.22	1.87	-0.65	0
The season so far				15.35	18.64		15

Finishing

-0.35

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.64

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+1.38

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

The run ahead

Fri 23/10 Home 21:00 Middlesbrough

Difficult 4/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 88/99
Defence: 77/99

Sat 31/10 Home 16:00 Bristol City

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 38/99
Defence: 52/99

Tue 03/11 Away 20:45 Charlton Athletic

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 30/99
Defence: 28/99

Fri 06/11 Away 21:00 Derby County

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 38/99
Defence: 38/99

Sat 21/11 Home 16:00 Portsmouth

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 44/99
Defence: 71/99

How fixture difficulty works → Every fixture →

Key players

Player Minutes Goals xG xA xGI

Rúben Rodrigues M 416 1 1.68 1.05 2.73

Rúben Rodrigues M 2.73 416 min · 1G · xG 1.68 · xA 1.05

Sam Dalby F 825 4 2.34 0.29 2.63

Sam Dalby F 2.63 825 min · 4G · xG 2.34 · xA 0.29

Gaizka Larrazabal D 746 1 0.54 1.80 2.34

Gaizka Larrazabal D 2.34 746 min · 1G · xG 0.54 · xA 1.80

Josh Sheehan M 986 1 0.55 1.64 2.19

Josh Sheehan M 2.19 986 min · 1G · xG 0.55 · xA 1.64

xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →