xgEdge

Saturday, 09/08/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Southampton 2:1 Wrexham

Southampton Home 4.14 xG · 27 shots
Wrexham Away 1.88 xG · 10 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 22' Josh Windass (pen.) Wrexham · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 90' Jack Stephens Southampton · 0.73 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
  3. 90' Ryan Manning Southampton · 0.06 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Southampton Wrexham
Shots
27
10
On target
10
2
Inside the box
22
6
xG per shot
0.17
0.19
Open play xG
3.78
0.40
Set-piece xG
0.73
0.70
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 4.53 for Southampton and 1.10 for Wrexham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Josh Windass · 22' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Southampton · Jack Stephens · 90' · Goal · 2 m · 0.73 xG Southampton · Damion Downs · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.66 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.55 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.50 xG Wrexham · Conor Coady · 8' · No goal · 3 m · 0.46 xG Wrexham · Ryan Hardie · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.27 xG Wrexham · Lewis Brunt · 30' · No goal · 9 m · 0.21 xG Southampton · Ronnie Edwards · 43' · No goal · 4 m · 0.19 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 18' · No goal · 11 m · 0.19 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 39' · No goal · 14 m · 0.18 xG Southampton · Jack Stephens · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.16 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 18' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 68' · No goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG Southampton · Shea Charles · 47' · No goal · 10 m · 0.13 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 18' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 45' · No goal · 2 m · 0.12 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 48' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Southampton · Ryan Fraser · 42' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Jack Stephens · 74' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Southampton · Shea Charles · 55' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 4' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 90' · Goal · 27 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Ryan Fraser · 1' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 58' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Shea Charles · 48' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 12' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 11' · No goal · 5 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Mateus Fernandes · 69' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Welington · 12' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Jack Stephens · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Welington · 45' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 50' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Lewis Brunt · 88' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 46' · No goal · 45 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

37 shots · 6.42 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Southampton
  • Wrexham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.