Saturday, 09/08/2025 at 16:00
Full timeStoke City 3:1 Derby County
Goals
- 60' Carlton Morris Derby County · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
- 70' Lewis Baker Stoke City · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
- 90' Divin Mubama Stoke City · 0.30 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
- 90' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.30 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 12
- 3
- On target
- 7
- 2
- Inside the box
- 6
- 2
- xG per shot
- 0.09
- 0.13
- Open play xG
- 1.01
- 0.24
- Set-piece xG
- 0.08
- 0.14
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.39 for Derby County.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
15 shots · 1.47 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Stoke City
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
No match with expected goals behind it yet.
No match with expected goals behind it yet.
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.