Swansea City 1:1 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 23/08/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Swansea City Home 0.68 xG · 11 shots

Watford Away 0.41 xG · 9 shots

11 Swansea City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

35' Nestory Irankunda Watford · 0.08 xG chance 0–1
82' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.16 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Swansea City Watford

Shots: 11; 9
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 5; 5
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.61; 0.24
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.17
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.09 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Swansea City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Swansea City

0.62 xG created 0.38 xGA

L 0.10 created, 0.35 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.13 created, 0.40 conceded against Sheffield United

Watford

1.39 xG created 0.83 xGA

L 0.72 created, 1.16 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.06 created, 0.50 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.