xgEdge

Expected goals

Olympiakos Nicosia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Cypriot First Division · after 3 matches · updated 1 Oct

Olympiakos Nicosia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Olympiakos Nicosia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.69 xG per match
#5/14
Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.15
#2 Pafos FC 1.97
#3 AEK Larnaca 1.93
#4 Aris Limassol 1.71
#5 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.69
#6 Omonia Aradippou 1.61
#7 ALS Omonia 1.52
#8 APOEL Nicosia 1.47
#9 AEL Limassol 1.46
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.36
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 1.34
#12 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1.31
#13 Apollon Limassol 1.18
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.14
League avg
1.55
Total
5.07 3 matches
Defence
1.52 xGA per match
=6/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.68
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.88
#3 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.04
#4 Aris Limassol 1.25
#5 AEL Limassol 1.42
=6 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.52
=6 Apollon Limassol 1.52
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.55
#9 Pafos FC 1.55
#10 AEK Larnaca 1.56
#11 Omonia Aradippou 1.96
#12 Nea Salamina Famagusta 2.04
#13 ALS Omonia 2.15
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2.43
League avg
1.55
Total
4.56 3 matches
xG difference
+0.17 xGD per match
#7/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia +1.27
#2 APOEL Nicosia +0.80
#3 Aris Limassol +0.46
#4 Pafos FC +0.42
#5 AEK Larnaca +0.37
#6 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC +0.32
#7 Olympiakos Nicosia +0.17
#8 AEL Limassol +0.04
#9 Apollon Limassol -0.34
#10 Omonia Aradippou -0.36
#11 Anorthosis Famagusta -0.41
#12 ALS Omonia -0.63
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta -0.69
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.51 3 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.48 xPts per match
#8/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.26
#2 APOEL Nicosia 1.97
#3 Aris Limassol 1.73
#4 Pafos FC 1.65
#5 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.62
#6 AEK Larnaca 1.53
#7 AEL Limassol 1.51
#8 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.48
#9 Omonia Aradippou 1.16
#10 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.09
#11 Apollon Limassol 1.04
#12 ALS Omonia 1.01
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.97
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.65
League avg
1.39
Total
4.44 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 3 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 3 of 4 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Olympiakos Nicosia's underlying numbers sit close to the Cypriot First Division average. They rank #7 for xG difference at +0.17 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. After only 3 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.76 xG from penalties
4 5.07 -1.07 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 4.56 -0.56 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 4.44 -1.44 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Olympiakos Nicosia are 1.07 goals below their xG after 3 matches.

Goals
4
xG
5.07
Gap
-1.07
Fri 28/08 Mon 07/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.35 +0.14 -1.07 +1.35 -1.21 -1.21 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Olympiakos Nicosia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 28/08 Nea Salamina Famagusta 3 1.65 +1.35 +1.35
Mon 07/09 Pafos FC 0 1.21 -1.21 +0.14
Sun 20/09 Omonia Aradippou 1 2.21 -1.21 -1.07

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Olympiakos Nicosia xG trend

Current form +0.17 npxGD per match

All 3 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches. The worst was against Nea Salamina Famagusta on Fri 28/08 (-0.60).

npxG · last 3
1.44
npxGA · last 3
1.27
-1 0 +1 +2 -0.60 Fri 28/08 -0.15 Mon 07/09 +1.26 Sun 20/09 +0.17 season avg
Olympiakos Nicosia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 28/08 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.89 1.49 -0.60 -0.60
Mon 07/09 Pafos FC 1.21 1.36 -0.15 -0.38
Sun 20/09 Omonia Aradippou 2.21 0.95 +1.26 +0.17

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.44 npxG and 1.27 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
−0.13 xG vs league average
Over 4 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.13 xG vs league average · over 4 matches · number 12 hardest of 14

  1. Omonia Aradippou Away −0.13
  2. ALS Omonia Home −0.42
  3. Pafos FC Away +0.38
  4. Nea Salamina Famagusta Home −0.34

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Olympiakos Nicosia shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. Olympiakos Nicosia take 11.3 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.11), =8 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #4 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 57%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
=8/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 18.0
#2 Pafos FC 17.5
=3 APOEL Nicosia 12.8
=3 Aris Limassol 12.8
#5 AEK Larnaca 12.0
=6 AEL Limassol 11.8
=6 Omonia Aradippou 11.8
=8 ALS Omonia 11.3
=8 Olympiakos Nicosia 11.3
#10 Nea Salamina Famagusta 10.5
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 10.3
#12 Anorthosis Famagusta 10.0
#13 Karmiotissa Polemidion 9.8
#14 Apollon Limassol 8.8
League avg
12.0
Total
34 shots from 3 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#4/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AEK Larnaca 0.16
#2 ALS Omonia 0.13
#3 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.13
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.13
#5 Omonia Nicosia 0.12
#6 Apollon Limassol 0.11
#7 Pafos FC 0.11
#8 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.11
#9 AEL Limassol 0.11
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.11
#11 Omonia Aradippou 0.10
#12 Aris Limassol 0.10
#13 APOEL Nicosia 0.09
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
4.31 npxG from 34 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.0 shots per match
#13/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 7.0
=2 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 8.0
=2 Omonia Nicosia 8.0
#4 Aris Limassol 9.0
#5 AEL Limassol 10.8
#6 Anorthosis Famagusta 11.3
#7 Pafos FC 11.8
#8 Apollon Limassol 12.3
#9 AEK Larnaca 13.0
#10 Omonia Aradippou 13.8
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 14.0
#12 ALS Omonia 14.3
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 15.0
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 19.0
League avg
12.0
Total
45 shots allowed from 3 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#4/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.07
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.08
#3 Apollon Limassol 0.08
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.08
#5 AEL Limassol 0.10
#6 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.12
#7 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.12
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.12
#9 AEK Larnaca 0.12
#10 Omonia Aradippou 0.13
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.13
#12 Pafos FC 0.13
#13 Aris Limassol 0.14
#14 ALS Omonia 0.15
League avg
0.11
Total
3.80 npxGA from 45 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 57%

From 22 of 34 shots over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

53% allowed inside the box

League avg 57%

From 24 of 45 shots allowed over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Olympiakos Nicosia home and away xG

Olympiakos Nicosia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 1 match with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 2 1 with xG 2
xG / match 1.65 1.71
xGA / match 1.49 1.54
xGD / match +0.16 +0.18
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.49 1.47

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Olympiakos Nicosia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
4 3 with xG
xG / match
1.69
xGA / match
1.52
xGD / match
+0.17
Points
4 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 Omonia Aradippou A xG 2.21 xGA 1.71 P xGD +0.50
  2. Sun 13/09 ALS Omonia H
  3. Mon 07/09 Pafos FC A xG 1.21 xGA 1.36 xGD -0.15
  4. Fri 28/08 Nea Salamina Famagusta H xG 1.65 P xGA 1.49 xGD +0.16

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Olympiakos Nicosia in Cypriot First Division

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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