What Sarpsborg 08 have left to play in Eliteserien 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
5 matches ahead in Eliteserien
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 5 matches ahead of Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien rates 2.6 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.49 projected xG a match from them and 8.0 of the 15 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Aalesunds FK away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 60/99 and a defence rated 22/99.
The run at a glance
Kristiansund BK home Sun 01/11
Projected xG 1.59 – 0.91 Sarpsborg 08 win 52%
Aalesunds FK away Sun 11/10
Projected xG 1.39 – 1.46 Sarpsborg 08 win 34%
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Open the match page for Aalesunds FK
Sun 11/10 Away Aalesunds FK Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.39 – 1.46 Projected xPts 1.30- Aalesunds FK
- 37%
- Draw
- 29%
- Sarpsborg 08
- 34%
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Open the match page for Rosenborg BK
Sun 18/10 Home Rosenborg BK Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 1.43 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.53- Sarpsborg 08
- 41%
- Draw
- 31%
- Rosenborg BK
- 29%
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Open the match page for Aalesunds FK
Sun 25/10 Home Aalesunds FK Eliteserien
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.73 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.75- Sarpsborg 08
- 49%
- Draw
- 28%
- Aalesunds FK
- 23%
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Open the match page for Kristiansund BK
Sun 01/11 Home Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.59 – 0.91 Projected xPts 1.85- Sarpsborg 08
- 52%
- Draw
- 29%
- Kristiansund BK
- 19%
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Open the match page for HamKam
Sun 08/11 Away HamKam Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.05 Projected xPts 1.56- HamKam
- 27%
- Draw
- 32%
- Sarpsborg 08
- 41%
Eliteserien publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Eliteserien.
Fixture difficulty in Eliteserien
Reads each matchup for Sarpsborg 08: the band is cut from the model's chances of Sarpsborg 08 winning and losing the match, so Sarpsborg 08's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 16 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Eliteserien's average club, with no venue and nothing of Sarpsborg 08's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 16 hardest of 16
- Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
- Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
- Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
- Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
- HamKam Away −0.51
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Eliteserien and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.