Excelsior 1:2 Heracles Almelo: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 1.85 xG

Heracles Almelo Away 1.01 xG

12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior Heracles Almelo

Shots: 12; 10
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

1.57 xG created 2.05 xGA

W 1.84 created, 1.68 conceded against FC Volendam
L 2.15 created, 2.51 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 0.85 created, 2.12 conceded against SC Heerenveen
W 1.08 created, 1.07 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
L 0.54 created, 1.81 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 2.97 created, 3.10 conceded against SC Telstar

Heracles Almelo

1.32 xG created 1.74 xGA

L 0.90 created, 2.28 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.31 created, 1.43 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 0.60 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Twente
L 0.19 created, 2.67 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.16 created, 1.54 conceded against FC Volendam
W 3.78 created, 1.20 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.