Excelsior 1:2 PSV Eindhoven: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 0.51 xG · 5 shots

PSV Eindhoven Away 2.24 xG · 20 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Ruben van Bommel PSV Eindhoven · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
54' Casper Widell Excelsior · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
56' Ricardo Pepi PSV Eindhoven · 0.55 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Shots: 5; 20
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 3; 16
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.33; 1.73
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.45
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.32 for Excelsior and 2.21 for PSV Eindhoven.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

1.93 xG created 1.26 xGA

D 1.50 created, 2.66 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 3.31 created, 0.84 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 2.58 created, 1.14 conceded against FC Groningen
D 0.38 created, 0.46 conceded against FC Volendam
W 0.95 created, 1.76 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 2.87 created, 0.72 conceded against SC Cambuur

PSV Eindhoven

2.29 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 2.94 created, 1.40 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 2.05 created, 1.20 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 1.88 created, 0.83 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 1.80 created, 0.95 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 2.49 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Twente
D 2.56 created, 0.98 conceded against Fortuna Sittard

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.