xgEdge

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 16:45

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda 0:1 AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda Home 1.96 xG
AZ Alkmaar Away 2.82 xG
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar
Shots
11
25
On target
6
8
Inside the box
9
15
xG per shot
0.18
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NAC Breda

0.97 xG created 2.37 xGA

  • L 0.28 created, 2.29 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.01 created, 0.72 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 0.61 created, 4.10 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar

1.45 xG created 0.68 xGA

  • W 1.44 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Groningen
  • D 1.46 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.