NAC Breda 3:4 NEC Nijmegen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda Home 0.82 xG

NEC Nijmegen Away 1.19 xG

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NAC Breda NEC Nijmegen

Shots: 14; 11
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 9; 9
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NAC Breda

1.18 xG created 1.23 xGA

L 1.21 created, 0.56 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 1.67 created, 0.95 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.42 created, 2.43 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
D 1.20 created, 0.66 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.73 created, 1.48 conceded against SC Telstar
D 0.82 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Groningen

NEC Nijmegen

2.01 xG created 1.94 xGA

W 1.47 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Groningen
W 2.25 created, 2.67 conceded against Feyenoord
W 2.78 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against FC Volendam
D 2.34 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Telstar
D 2.05 created, 2.02 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NAC Breda: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

NEC Nijmegen 3:0 NAC Breda 24/08/2025 xG 4.10 – 0.61

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.