xgEdge

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 18:45

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle 3:1 AZ Alkmaar

PEC Zwolle Home 1.73 xG
AZ Alkmaar Away 0.61 xG
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

PEC Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Shots
12
12
On target
5
4
Inside the box
8
2
xG per shot
0.14
0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
PEC Zwolle

1.10 xG created 1.98 xGA

  • D 0.90 created, 2.52 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 1.56 created, 1.76 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 0.97 created, 3.08 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 1.58 created, 0.72 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1.18 created, 1.71 conceded against Excelsior
  • D 0.40 created, 2.07 conceded against FC Twente
AZ Alkmaar

1.82 xG created 1.62 xGA

  • L 0.28 created, 2.33 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • L 1.03 created, 3.33 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 1.29 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Twente
  • D 2.11 created, 1.33 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 3.79 created, 1.38 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 2.39 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PEC Zwolle: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.