Sparta Rotterdam 3:3 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam Home 1.98 xG

AFC Ajax Away 1.67 xG

33 Sparta Rotterdam had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Sparta Rotterdam AFC Ajax

Shots: 14; 17
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 8; 10
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sparta Rotterdam

1.31 xG created 1.82 xGA

W 1.34 created, 1.35 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 1.73 created, 2.24 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 0.57 created, 2.09 conceded against Feyenoord
W 1.65 created, 1.55 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.11 created, 2.37 conceded against FC Twente
L 1.43 created, 1.31 conceded against Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

1.99 xG created 1.16 xGA

D 1.87 created, 0.64 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 2.75 created, 0.18 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 0.91 created, 0.86 conceded against FC Volendam
W 2.37 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 2.18 created, 3.10 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 1.87 created, 1.57 conceded against NAC Breda

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.