xgEdge

Fantasy Premier League

Best value in the game

Every player the game would let you field, projected over the rounds ahead and priced against them. The board is ranked on the model's own currency; the value column is one click away.

Best value in the game

Thierno Barry

FWD · EVE · 5.7m · owned by 8.3%

2.41

Value

every bar on one axis of 0 to 2.5

That is 13.7 projected points over the rounds ahead, weighted so the round in front of him counts for most.

Gameweek 6 · 5-round window · feed of 01/10 11:39

Thierno Barry is the best value on the board: 2.41 points per million, from 13.7 over 5 rounds at 5.7m.

Price

5.7m

What the game charges for him today, which is what the value column divides by.

Ahead

13.7

His weighted score over the next 5 rounds, and the currency this board is ranked in.

Own

8.3%

The share of managers already holding him.

The top five on this board

The board as your controls leave it — the same five that open the table below.

  1. Ranked 1 Thierno Barry
    FWD EVE vs
    13.7 Ahead
    Value
    2.41
    Price
    5.7m
    Own
    8.3%
    3.0
    1. HUL (A)
    2. CHE (H)
    3. ARS (A)
    4. !
    5. COV (H)
  2. Ranked 2 James Tarkowski
    DEF EVE vs
    13.1 Ahead
    Value
    2.11
    Price
    6.2m
    Own
    17%
    3.0
    1. HUL (A)
    2. CHE (H)
    3. ARS (A)
    4. !
    5. COV (H)
  3. Ranked 3 Jarrad Branthwaite
    DEF EVE vs
    12.0 Ahead
    Value
    2.19
    Price
    5.5m
    Own
    2.4%
    3.0
    1. HUL (A)
    2. CHE (H)
    3. ARS (A)
    4. !
    5. COV (H)
  4. MID EVE vs
    12.0 Ahead
    Value
    1.81
    Price
    6.6m
    Own
    6.0%
    3.0
    1. HUL (A)
    2. CHE (H)
    3. ARS (A)
    4. !
    5. COV (H)
  5. Ranked 5 Jordan Pickford
    GKP EVE vs
    11.1 Ahead
    Value
    2.01
    Price
    5.5m
    Own
    9.1%
    3.0
    1. HUL (A)
    2. CHE (H)
    3. ARS (A)
    4. !
    5. COV (H)
Position
Minutes played
Rounds ahead
Price
1 Thierno Barry 13.7
FWD vs EVE · 5.7m 92%
Value
2.41
Pts
4.0
xGI
0.79
Own
8.3%
Mins
417
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
DEF vs EVE · 6.2m 92%
Value
2.11
Pts
3.9
xGI
0.05
Own
17%
Mins
450
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
DEF vs EVE · 5.5m 92%
Value
2.19
Pts
3.6
xGI
0.03
Own
2.4%
Mins
450
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 6.6m 92%
Value
1.81
Pts
3.5
xGI
0.37
Own
6.0%
Mins
450
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
GKP vs EVE · 5.5m 92%
Value
2.01
Pts
3.3
xGI
0.00
Own
9.1%
Mins
450
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
DEF vs EVE · 4.6m 92%
Value
2.27
Pts
3.1
xGI
0.04
Own
4.2%
Mins
450
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 5.0m 92%
Value
2.00
Pts
3.0
xGI
0.14
Own
0.4%
Mins
446
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 5.5m 75%
Value
1.59
Pts
2.6
xGI
0.19
Own
0.9%
Mins
309
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
9 James Garner 8.5
MID vs EVE · 6.0m 75%
Value
1.42
Pts
2.5
xGI
0.10
Own
0.2%
Mins
328
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 5.9m 58%
Value
1.19
Pts
2.1
xGI
0.47
Own
0.1%
Mins
238
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
11 Ainsley Maitland-Niles 6.4
DEF vs EVE · 4.5m 63%
Value
1.43
Pts
1.9
xGI
0.16
Own
1.4%
Mins
177
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
12 Jack Grealish 3.8
MID vs EVE · 6.5m 25%
Value
0.59
Pts
1.1
xGI
0.30
Own
0.5%
Mins
135
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 5.4m 25%
Value
0.70
Pts
1.1
xGI
0.12
Own
0.2%
Mins
137
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
14 Braiden Graham 2.7
MID vs EVE · 4.5m 13%
Value
0.61
Pts
0.8
xGI
0.00
Own
0.1%
Mins
0
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
15 Tyler Dibling 2.4
MID vs EVE · 5.4m 8.3%
Value
0.44
Pts
0.7
xGI
1.24
Own
0.0%
Mins
24
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
MID vs EVE · 4.9m 8.3%
Value
0.47
Pts
0.7
xGI
1.26
Own
0.1%
Mins
5
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
17 Mark Travers 2.0
GKP vs EVE · 5.0m 8.3%
Value
0.39
Pts
0.6
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
0
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
18 Tom King 2.0
GKP vs EVE · 4.5m 8.3%
Value
0.44
Pts
0.6
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
0
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
19 Michael Keane 1.7
DEF vs EVE · 4.8m 8.3%
Value
0.35
Pts
0.5
xGI
0.00
Own
0.7%
Mins
0
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
20 Jake O'Brien 1.7
DEF vs EVE · 4.8m 8.3%
Value
0.35
Pts
0.5
xGI
0.00
Own
0.3%
Mins
16
  1. HUL (A)
  2. CHE (H)
  3. ARS (A)
  4. !
  5. COV (H)
each row's Ahead, drawn to scale every bar on one axis of 0 to 20

What this board is, and what it is not

Every ranking here is in expected points or in the weighted score for the rounds ahead, which are the units this model is measured in. The value column is those figures restated over a price — it is a way of scanning the board, and nothing on this site backtests it.

Bonus points are projected nowhere on this site, so they are in none of these figures.

The window score is points times weight rather than points. The 5 weights sum to 3.36, so a window score is never a total anybody could add up from the per-round figures beside it.

The price is what he costs today. What the game would pay for a player who has risen is less, so a value figure is an estimate of a purchase rather than of a sale.

The board is every player the game would let you field, the flagged included — whether a doubtful player is worth picking is a judgement the projection makes with his published chance of playing, not one made by hiding him.

What is measured here, and what is not

  • Measured The projected points

    Replayed against gameweek 2 after it was played: an average miss of 1.617 points a player, against 1.842 for “predict what he has averaged so far”, over 456 players. Recorded Sunday, 6 September 2026 and refreshed by hand, so the date is part of the claim.