xgEdge

Monday, 26/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · HNL

HNK Gorica 1:2 NK Varaždin

HNK Gorica Home 1.79 xG
NK Varaždin Away 1.54 xG
12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

HNK Gorica NK Varaždin
Shots
13
12
On target
5
4
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.14
0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
HNK Gorica

1.26 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • D 1.46 created, 1.07 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
  • W 2.22 created, 1.06 conceded against NK Istra 1961
  • L 0.54 created, 1.33 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
  • L 2.74 created, 0.65 conceded against NK Slaven Belupo
  • D 0.26 created, 0.95 conceded against NK Osijek
  • L 0.35 created, 0.90 conceded against HNK Rijeka
NK Varaždin

1.16 xG created 1.82 xGA

  • W 0.95 created, 2.52 conceded against HNK Rijeka
  • L 0.29 created, 2.01 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
  • D 0.36 created, 1.38 conceded against HNK Hajduk Split
  • W 2.27 created, 1.73 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • L 0.84 created, 2.17 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
  • L 2.26 created, 1.08 conceded against NK Istra 1961

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.