NK Varaždin 2:1 HNK Hajduk Split: xG & match report · HNL

Sunday, 02/08/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · HNL

NK Varaždin Home 0.90 xG · 10 shots

HNK Hajduk Split Away 1.16 xG · 10 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

53' Mario Mladenovski NK Varaždin · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
56' Rokas Pukštas HNK Hajduk Split · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
62' Luka Mamić NK Varaždin · 0.29 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

NK Varaždin HNK Hajduk Split

Shots: 10; 10
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 8; 3
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.77; 0.20
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.21
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.40 for HNK Hajduk Split.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.13 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

NK Varaždin
HNK Hajduk Split
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NK Varaždin

1.47 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 0.82 created, 1.34 conceded against HNK Rijeka
L 0.47 created, 1.19 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L 1.98 created, 1.73 conceded against HNK Hajduk Split
D 0.75 created, 0.29 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
W 1.74 created, 0.70 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
W 3.05 created, 0.40 conceded against NK Istra 1961

HNK Hajduk Split

1.67 xG created 1.73 xGA

D 1.73 created, 2.11 conceded against NK Slaven Belupo
L 2.07 created, 0.84 conceded against NK Osijek
D 0.85 created, 1.44 conceded against HNK Rijeka
W 1.73 created, 1.98 conceded against NK Varaždin
L 0.26 created, 2.53 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
D 3.39 created, 1.50 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NK Varaždin: 1 won · 2 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.