xgEdge

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Jupiler Pro League

KRC Genk 3:2 KVC Westerlo

KRC Genk Home 4.24 xG · 22 shots
KVC Westerlo Away 0.85 xG · 13 shots
32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 6' Dylan Ourega KVC Westerlo · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
  2. 13' Matte Smets (o.g.) KVC Westerlo · 0.10 xG chance 0–2
  3. 41' Rafiu Durosinmi (pen.) KRC Genk · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
  4. 43' Bryan Heynen KRC Genk · 0.11 xG chance 2–2
  5. 79' Aaron Bibout KRC Genk · 0.67 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

KRC Genk KVC Westerlo
Shots
22
13
On target
7
3
Inside the box
19
10
xG per shot
0.20
0.07
Open play xG
3.08
0.92
Set-piece xG
0.45
0.03
Penalties
1
0

KRC Genk's shots add up to 4.35 xG and KVC Westerlo's to 0.95; the published figures are 4.24 and 0.85.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

KRC Genk · Rafiu Durosinmi · 41' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG KRC Genk · Aaron Bibout · 79' · Goal · 3 m · 0.67 xG KRC Genk · Zakaria El Ouahdi · 25' · No goal · 6 m · 0.66 xG KRC Genk · Ibrahima Sory Bangoura · 11' · No goal · 4 m · 0.65 xG KRC Genk · Rafiu Durosinmi · 25' · No goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG KVC Westerlo · Norman Bassette · 3' · No goal · 5 m · 0.22 xG KVC Westerlo · Dylan Ourega · 6' · Goal · 8 m · 0.17 xG KRC Genk · Bryan Heynen · 47' · No goal · 10 m · 0.17 xG KRC Genk · Ayumu Yokoyama · 25' · No goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG KRC Genk · Rafiu Durosinmi · 31' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG KVC Westerlo · Reda Laalaoui · 69' · No goal · 6 m · 0.12 xG KRC Genk · Bryan Heynen · 43' · Goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG KVC Westerlo · Matte Smets · 13' · Goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG KRC Genk · Rafiu Durosinmi · 18' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG KRC Genk · Bryan Heynen · 61' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG KRC Genk · Bryan Heynen · 65' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG KVC Westerlo · Isa Sakamoto · 2' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG KRC Genk · Zakaria El Ouahdi · 56' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG KRC Genk · Ayumu Yokoyama · 56' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG KVC Westerlo · Isa Sakamoto · 58' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG KRC Genk · Junya Ito · 59' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG KRC Genk · Matte Smets · 65' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG KVC Westerlo · Shunsuke Saito · 85' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG KRC Genk · Rafiu Durosinmi · 11' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG KRC Genk · Jeppe Erenbjerg · 29' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG KVC Westerlo · Shunsuke Saito · 55' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG KRC Genk · Ibrahima Sory Bangoura · 72' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG KVC Westerlo · Ibrahim Fofana · 29' · No goal · 6 m · 0.03 xG KVC Westerlo · Dylan Ourega · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG KRC Genk · Junya Ito · 47' · No goal · 6 m · 0.03 xG KVC Westerlo · Shunsuke Saito · 55' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG KRC Genk · Jeppe Erenbjerg · 22' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG KVC Westerlo · Dylan Ourega · 32' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG KRC Genk · Bryan Heynen · 22' · No goal · 5 m · 0.01 xG KVC Westerlo · David Amegnaglo · 69' · No goal · 10 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

35 shots · 5.30 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • KRC Genk
  • KVC Westerlo
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
KRC Genk

1.47 xG created 1.19 xGA

  • W 1.28 created, 1.73 conceded against KVC Westerlo
  • D 2.04 created, 0.62 conceded against Standard Liège
  • D 2.63 created, 0.71 conceded against Royal Antwerp FC
  • W 1.25 created, 1.11 conceded against Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  • D 1.09 created, 2.48 conceded against KAA Gent
  • L 0.54 created, 0.51 conceded against SV Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo

1.17 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • D 1.77 created, 1.83 conceded against Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  • L 1.73 created, 1.28 conceded against KRC Genk
  • W 0.97 created, 0.82 conceded against RC Sporting Charleroi
  • L 1.34 created, 2.57 conceded against Standard Liège
  • L 0.43 created, 2.10 conceded against Royal Antwerp FC
  • L 0.76 created, 1.79 conceded against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.