Athletic Club 1:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · La Liga

Athletic Club Home 2.49 xG · 27 shots

Celta Vigo Away 0.15 xG · 3 shots

11 Athletic Club had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

5' Williot Swedberg Celta Vigo · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
52' Iñaki Williams Athletic Club · 0.31 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Athletic Club Celta Vigo

Shots: 27; 3
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 19; 1
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.05
Open play xG: 2.58; 0.16
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.84 for Athletic Club and 0.15 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.99 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Athletic Club

0.87 xG created 1.18 xGA

L 1.16 created, 1.31 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.54 created, 1.21 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.80 created, 2.09 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 0.97 created, 0.49 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.93 created, 1.19 conceded against Valencia
L 0.82 created, 0.76 conceded against Espanyol

Celta Vigo

1.28 xG created 1.71 xGA

L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.41 created, 1.23 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.98 created, 1.89 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.05 created, 1.71 conceded against Elche
W 0.13 created, 2.18 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 2.18 created, 1.52 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Athletic Club: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Celta Vigo 2:0 Athletic Club 14/12/2025 xG 1.40 – 1.62

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.