Atlético Madrid 5:2 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 2.34 xG · 13 shots

Real Madrid Away 0.66 xG · 6 shots

52 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Robin Le Normand Atlético Madrid · 0.25 xG chance 1–0
25' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.17 xG chance 1–1
36' Arda Güler Real Madrid · 0.33 xG chance 1–2
45' Alexander Sørloth Atlético Madrid · 0.24 xG chance 2–2
51' Julián Alvarez (pen.) Atlético Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 3–2
64' Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid · 0.05 xG chance 4–2
90' Antoine Griezmann Atlético Madrid · 0.46 xG chance 5–2

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Real Madrid

Shots: 13; 6
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 8; 3
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.86; 0.61
Set-piece xG: 0.69; 0.07
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.55 for Atlético Madrid and 0.66 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 3.05 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.83 xG created 0.99 xGA

L 1.10 created, 1.26 conceded against Espanyol
D 1.74 created, 0.57 conceded against Elche
D 1.09 created, 0.92 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.17 created, 0.97 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.26 created, 0.60 conceded against Mallorca
W 3.61 created, 1.60 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid

2.28 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 1.64 created, 0.36 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.67 created, 0.50 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.82 created, 0.72 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.42 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.18 created, 0.96 conceded against Espanyol
W 3.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.