Elche 1:3 Villarreal: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Elche Home 1.31 xG · 15 shots

Villarreal Away 1.52 xG · 12 shots

13 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

7' Alberto Moleiro Villarreal · 0.33 xG chance 0–1
13' Georges Mikautadze Villarreal · 0.13 xG chance 0–2
30' Martim Neto Elche · 0.07 xG chance 1–2
83' Alfonso Pedraza Villarreal · 0.13 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Elche Villarreal

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 11; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.15; 1.35
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.31 for Elche and 1.52 for Villarreal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Elche
Villarreal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Elche

1.24 xG created 1.70 xGA

D 0.80 created, 1.36 conceded against Real Sociedad
D 1.44 created, 3.49 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.51 created, 1.06 conceded against Getafe
W 2.03 created, 0.94 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.29 created, 2.44 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.40 created, 0.92 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal

1.77 xG created 1.08 xGA

W 3.02 created, 1.02 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.61 created, 0.50 conceded against Espanyol
W 2.23 created, 1.02 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.51 created, 1.02 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.61 created, 0.22 conceded against Getafe
L 1.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Barcelona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.