Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 21/09/2025 at 14:00

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Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 0.99 xG · 15 shots

Celta Vigo Away 0.81 xG · 9 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

49' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.31 xG chance 0–1
65' Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano · 0.17 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Celta Vigo

Shots: 15; 9
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.95; 0.60
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.33
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.08 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.91 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.99 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.65 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 3.43 created, 0.56 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.29 created, 1.51 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.85 created, 1.83 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.04 created, 1.77 conceded against Osasuna

Celta Vigo

1.10 xG created 0.85 xGA

L 0.73 created, 1.43 conceded against Getafe
D 0.74 created, 0.68 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.83 created, 0.33 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.68 created, 1.15 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.50 created, 0.64 conceded against Girona FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.