Rayo Vallecano 3:3 Real Sociedad: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 26/04/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 2.38 xG · 24 shots

Real Sociedad Away 2.23 xG · 13 shots

33 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

22' Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
30' Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano · 0.13 xG chance 1–1
63' Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad · 0.12 xG chance 1–2
76' Mikel Oyarzabal (pen.) Real Sociedad · 0.82 xG chance 1–3
84' Florian Lejeune Rayo Vallecano · 0.36 xG chance 2–3
90' Alemão Rayo Vallecano · 0.62 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Real Sociedad

Shots: 24; 13
On target: 9; 8
Inside the box: 13; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.16
Open play xG: 1.52; 1.03
Set-piece xG: 0.60; 0.17
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.21 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.22 for Real Sociedad.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

37 shots · 4.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.47 xG created 1.29 xGA

D 0.31 created, 1.05 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.73 created, 1.24 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.37 created, 0.44 conceded against Elche
L 1.95 created, 1.68 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.60 created, 1.96 conceded against Espanyol

Real Sociedad

1.52 xG created 1.30 xGA

L 0.41 created, 2.29 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.97 created, 0.48 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.18 created, 3.51 conceded against Villarreal
W 2.72 created, 0.28 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.94 created, 1.13 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 1.89 created, 0.12 conceded against Getafe

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo Vallecano 05/10/2025 xG 0.79 – 0.80

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.