Real Betis 1:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Real Betis Home 1.49 xG · 19 shots

Celta Vigo Away 0.56 xG · 7 shots

11 Real Betis had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

4' Ferran Jutglà Celta Vigo · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
49' Héctor Bellerín Real Betis · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Real Betis Celta Vigo

Shots: 19; 7
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.84; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 0.65; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.56 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Betis

1.57 xG created 0.95 xGA

W 1.82 created, 1.89 conceded against Valencia
W 0.94 created, 0.66 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 2.12 created, 1.01 conceded against Mallorca
D 1.83 created, 0.83 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.58 created, 0.94 conceded against Sevilla
L 1.11 created, 0.37 conceded against Getafe

Celta Vigo

1.55 xG created 0.71 xGA

D 0.18 created, 0.35 conceded against Getafe
L 2.16 created, 0.66 conceded against Osasuna
D 2.74 created, 0.71 conceded against Espanyol
W 2.58 created, 0.04 conceded against Mallorca
W 0.60 created, 1.63 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.05 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Madrid

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Betis: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Betis 27/08/2025 xG 0.83 – 0.33

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.