CD Nacional 0:1 FC Porto: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 0.65 xG

FC Porto Away 0.45 xG

01 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

CD Nacional FC Porto

Shots: 9; 8
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.48 xG created 1.27 xGA

L 1.50 created, 0.87 conceded against Vitória SC
D 1.98 created, 2.47 conceded against Santa Clara
L 1.55 created, 1.43 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.53 created, 0.47 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.32 created, 1.74 conceded against Sporting
D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia

FC Porto

1.83 xG created 0.80 xGA

W 2.50 created, 0.29 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 1.11 created, 0.26 conceded against Santa Clara
W 2.29 created, 1.46 conceded against Vitória SC
W 2.29 created, 0.55 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 2.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Casa Pia
D 0.77 created, 1.29 conceded against Sporting

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Porto 1:0 CD Nacional 13/09/2025 xG 1.88 – 0.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.