CD Nacional 3:1 Tondela: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 15/12/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 2.35 xG

Tondela Away 3.28 xG

31 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional Tondela

Shots: 8; 21
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 6; 14
xG per shot: 0.29; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.18 xG created 2.06 xGA

W 2.73 created, 2.09 conceded against Moreirense
D 1.20 created, 1.76 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.46 created, 1.53 conceded against Famalicão
D 1.26 created, 2.22 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
L 0.50 created, 2.68 conceded against Benfica
L 0.92 created, 2.07 conceded against FC Alverca

Tondela

0.92 xG created 1.68 xGA

L 0.75 created, 2.27 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.36 created, 3.17 conceded against Sporting
D 1.79 created, 0.96 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 1.05 created, 1.27 conceded against Vitória SC
W 1.16 created, 0.49 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.43 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.