Estoril Praia 4:1 FC Alverca: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 21:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia Home 1.30 xG

FC Alverca Away 0.75 xG

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Estoril Praia FC Alverca

Shots: 9; 11
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Estoril Praia

1.64 xG created 1.64 xGA

W 2.21 created, 0.17 conceded against Rio Ave
W 1.71 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Arouca
L 1.11 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Porto
D 1.88 created, 2.41 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.81 created, 2.88 conceded against Famalicão
W 2.13 created, 2.19 conceded against Sporting Braga

FC Alverca

1.05 xG created 1.22 xGA

L 0.23 created, 2.47 conceded against Sporting
D 1.67 created, 0.60 conceded against Rio Ave
W 1.41 created, 0.17 conceded against Casa Pia
W 2.07 created, 0.92 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.21 created, 1.69 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.73 created, 1.45 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.