FC Porto 3:1 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 15/12/2025 at 21:45

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Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Porto Home 2.89 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 0.18 xG

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Porto CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 20; 6
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 16; 2
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.03

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Porto

1.36 xG created 0.53 xGA

D 0.66 created, 0.13 conceded against Benfica
W 1.86 created, 0.23 conceded against Moreirense
W 0.96 created, 0.90 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 1.32 created, 0.37 conceded against Famalicão
W 1.41 created, 1.11 conceded against Estoril Praia
W 1.92 created, 0.43 conceded against Tondela

CF Estrela Amadora

1.58 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 0.98 created, 2.36 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Rio Ave
W 2.08 created, 1.02 conceded against Casa Pia
D 2.22 created, 1.26 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.11 created, 2.65 conceded against Sporting
W 3.27 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Arouca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.