Marítimo 1:0 Casa Pia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 08/08/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Marítimo Home 1.28 xG · 16 shots

Casa Pia Away 0.64 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

61' Raphael Guzzo Marítimo · 0.34 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Marítimo Casa Pia

Shots: 16; 9
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 12; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.97; 0.53
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.25 for Marítimo and 0.64 for Casa Pia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.87 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Marítimo
Casa Pia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Marítimo

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

Casa Pia

1.11 xG created 0.85 xGA

D 1.27 created, 0.19 conceded against Santa Clara
L 0.48 created, 0.47 conceded against Sporting Braga
L 1.25 created, 1.71 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.45 created, 1.18 conceded against Tondela
W 0.88 created, 0.94 conceded against Vitória SC
D 2.34 created, 0.61 conceded against Rio Ave

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.