Rio Ave 2:1 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Rio Ave Home 2.75 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 1.34 xG

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Rio Ave CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 18; 11
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rio Ave

0.76 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.69 created, 1.47 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.13 created, 2.74 conceded against Sporting Braga
L 1.25 created, 0.45 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.24 created, 1.95 conceded against FC Porto
D 1.01 created, 0.85 conceded against Famalicão
W 1.23 created, 0.50 conceded against Tondela

CF Estrela Amadora

0.98 xG created 1.28 xGA

D 0.88 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Alverca
W 0.94 created, 1.32 conceded against Santa Clara
L 1.02 created, 1.49 conceded against Vitória SC
L 1.13 created, 1.29 conceded against Tondela
D 0.68 created, 0.78 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
D 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Gil Vicente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rio Ave: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

CF Estrela Amadora 1:2 Rio Ave 25/10/2025 xG 0.82 – 0.86

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.