Lorient 2:3 RC Strasbourg: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 26/04/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lorient Home 2.28 xG · 14 shots

RC Strasbourg Away 1.34 xG · 12 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

26' Noah Cadiou Lorient · 0.47 xG chance 1–0
54' Pablo Pagis (pen.) Lorient · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
62' Sebastian Nanasi RC Strasbourg · 0.36 xG chance 2–1
90' Andrew Omobamidele RC Strasbourg · 0.39 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Nathaniel Adjei (o.g.) RC Strasbourg · 0.10 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Lorient RC Strasbourg

Shots: 14; 12
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.60; 1.15
Set-piece xG: 0.75; 0.50
Penalties: 1; 0

Lorient's shots add up to 2.17 xG and RC Strasbourg's to 1.65; the published figures are 2.28 and 1.34.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.82 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lorient
RC Strasbourg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lorient

1.11 xG created 1.14 xGA

D 0.45 created, 0.51 conceded against Lille
W 1.45 created, 1.34 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.40 created, 1.15 conceded against Toulouse
D 1.18 created, 1.04 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.87 created, 1.16 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.33 created, 1.65 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

RC Strasbourg

1.34 xG created 1.53 xGA

D 0.75 created, 1.68 conceded against RC Lens
D 0.74 created, 0.73 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.18 created, 0.52 conceded against Paris FC
W 2.12 created, 1.67 conceded against Nantes
W 2.26 created, 0.32 conceded against Nice
L 1.00 created, 4.25 conceded against Stade Rennais

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lorient: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

RC Strasbourg 0:0 Lorient 14/12/2025 xG 0.69 – 0.53

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.