Nice 1:1 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 0.96 xG · 11 shots

Paris FC Away 1.84 xG · 13 shots

11 Paris FC had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

40' Sofiane Diop Nice · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
88' Jean-Philippe Krasso (pen.) Paris FC · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nice Paris FC

Shots: 11; 13
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.86; 0.95
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.14
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Nice and 1.08 for Paris FC.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

1.49 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.79 created, 0.61 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.94 created, 1.51 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.63 created, 2.56 conceded against Le Havre
W 1.75 created, 0.75 conceded against Nantes
L 2.33 created, 2.03 conceded against Stade Brestois

Paris FC

1.67 xG created 2.12 xGA

L 0.92 created, 0.97 conceded against Angers
L 1.09 created, 2.83 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 3.21 created, 1.84 conceded against Metz
W 1.55 created, 2.57 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.60 created, 2.38 conceded against RC Strasbourg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.