What Paris Saint-Germain have left to play in Ligue 1 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
28 matches ahead in Ligue 1
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 28 matches ahead of Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 rates 1.7 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 27 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 2.01 projected xG a match from them and 56.8 of the 84 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is RC Lens away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 80/99 and a defence rated 52/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Troyes home Sat 07/11
Projected xG 2.59 – 0.98 Paris Saint-Germain win 73%
RC Lens away Sun 03/01 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.78 – 1.49 Paris Saint-Germain win 43%
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Open the match page for Le Mans
Sat 10/10 Home Le Mans Ligue 1
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 2.28 – 0.95 Projected xPts 2.23- Paris Saint-Germain
- 67%
- Draw
- 21%
- Le Mans
- 12%
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Open the match page for RC Strasbourg
Sat 17/10 Away RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 1.94 – 1.06 Projected xPts 1.97- RC Strasbourg
- 17%
- Draw
- 25%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 57%
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Open the match page for Olympique Lyonnais
Sun 25/10 Home Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.94 – 0.98 Projected xPts 2.03- Paris Saint-Germain
- 59%
- Draw
- 25%
- Olympique Lyonnais
- 16%
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Open the match page for Le Havre
Fri 30/10 Away Le Havre Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 45/99Projected xG 1.86 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.90- Le Havre
- 19%
- Draw
- 26%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 55%
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Open the match page for Troyes
Sat 07/11 Home Troyes Ligue 1
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99Projected xG 2.59 – 0.98 Projected xPts 2.36- Paris Saint-Germain
- 73%
- Draw
- 18%
- Troyes
- 10%
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Open the match page for Nice
Sat 21/11 Away Nice Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.96 – 1.01 Projected xPts 2.03- Nice
- 16%
- Draw
- 25%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 59%
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Open the match page for Lorient
Sat 28/11 Home Lorient Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.88 – 0.78 Projected xPts 2.14- Paris Saint-Germain
- 63%
- Draw
- 25%
- Lorient
- 12%
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Open the match page for Toulouse
Sat 05/12 Away Toulouse Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.92 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.81- Toulouse
- 23%
- Draw
- 26%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 52%
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Open the match page for Paris FC
Sat 12/12 Home Paris FC Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99Projected xG 1.86 – 0.92 Projected xPts 2.03- Paris Saint-Germain
- 59%
- Draw
- 26%
- Paris FC
- 15%
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Open the match page for RC Lens
Sun 03/01 Away RC Lens Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 1.78 – 1.49 Projected xPts 1.56- RC Lens
- 30%
- Draw
- 27%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 43%
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Open the match page for Angers
Sat 16/01 Away Angers Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 1.95 – 0.99 Projected xPts 2.03- Angers
- 16%
- Draw
- 25%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 59%
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Open the match page for Auxerre
Sat 23/01 Home Auxerre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 49/99Projected xG 2.15 – 0.80 Projected xPts 2.27- Paris Saint-Germain
- 69%
- Draw
- 21%
- Auxerre
- 10%
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Open the match page for AS Monaco
Sat 30/01 Away AS Monaco Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.63 – 1.07 Projected xPts 1.76- AS Monaco
- 22%
- Draw
- 29%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 49%
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Open the match page for Olympique de Marseille
Sun 07/02 Home Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 2.45 – 1.09 Projected xPts 2.23- Paris Saint-Germain
- 68%
- Draw
- 20%
- Olympique de Marseille
- 12%
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Open the match page for Le Mans
Sat 13/02 Away Le Mans Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.92 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.91- Le Mans
- 19%
- Draw
- 26%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 55%
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Open the match page for Stade Brestois
Sat 20/02 Home Stade Brestois Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 2.00 – 1.01 Projected xPts 2.04- Paris Saint-Germain
- 60%
- Draw
- 24%
- Stade Brestois
- 16%
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Open the match page for RC Lens
Sun 28/02 Home RC Lens Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 2.11 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.93- Paris Saint-Germain
- 56%
- Draw
- 24%
- RC Lens
- 20%
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Open the match page for Auxerre
Sat 13/03 Away Auxerre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 49/99Projected xG 1.81 – 0.95 Projected xPts 1.97- Auxerre
- 16%
- Draw
- 27%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 57%
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Open the match page for RC Strasbourg
Sat 20/03 Home RC Strasbourg Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 2.30 – 0.89 Projected xPts 2.28- Paris Saint-Germain
- 69%
- Draw
- 20%
- RC Strasbourg
- 10%
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Open the match page for Paris FC
Sat 03/04 Away Paris FC Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99Projected xG 1.56 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.70- Paris FC
- 24%
- Draw
- 30%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 47%
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Open the match page for Le Havre
Sat 10/04 Home Le Havre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 45/99Projected xG 2.21 – 0.92 Projected xPts 2.22- Paris Saint-Germain
- 67%
- Draw
- 22%
- Le Havre
- 12%
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Open the match page for Lille
Sat 17/04 Home Lille Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 73/99Projected xG 1.81 – 0.90 Projected xPts 2.01- Paris Saint-Germain
- 58%
- Draw
- 26%
- Lille
- 15%
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Open the match page for Lorient
Sat 24/04 Away Lorient Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.59 – 0.92 Projected xPts 1.84- Lorient
- 19%
- Draw
- 29%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 52%
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Open the match page for Angers
Sat 01/05 Home Angers Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 2.31 – 0.84 Projected xPts 2.33- Paris Saint-Germain
- 71%
- Draw
- 20%
- Angers
- 9%
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Open the match page for Olympique Lyonnais
Sun 09/05 Away Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.63 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.70- Olympique Lyonnais
- 24%
- Draw
- 29%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 47%
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Open the match page for Nice
Sun 16/05 Home Nice Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 2.33 – 0.85 Projected xPts 2.32- Paris Saint-Germain
- 71%
- Draw
- 20%
- Nice
- 9%
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Open the match page for Troyes
Sat 22/05 Away Troyes Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99Projected xG 2.18 – 1.16 Projected xPts 2.04- Troyes
- 17%
- Draw
- 23%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 60%
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Open the match page for Toulouse
Sat 29/05 Home Toulouse Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 2.28 – 1.08 Projected xPts 2.15- Paris Saint-Germain
- 65%
- Draw
- 22%
- Toulouse
- 14%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1.
Fixture difficulty in Ligue 1
Reads each matchup for Paris Saint-Germain: the band is cut from the model's chances of Paris Saint-Germain winning and losing the match, so Paris Saint-Germain's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 17 hardest of 18 in Ligue 1
−0.13 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ligue 1's average club, with no venue and nothing of Paris Saint-Germain's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 17 hardest of 18
- Le Mans Home −0.13
- RC Strasbourg Away −0.22
- Olympique Lyonnais Home +0.12
- Le Havre Away −0.13
- Troyes Home −0.28
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1 and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.