Stade Rennais 2:1 Nantes: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 26/04/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 1.30 xG · 14 shots

Nantes Away 2.17 xG · 24 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

8' Esteban Lepaul (pen.) Stade Rennais · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
40' Ignatius Ganago Nantes · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
90' Valentin Rongier Stade Rennais · 0.03 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Nantes

Shots: 14; 24
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 8; 21
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.36; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 1.33
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.51 for Stade Rennais and 2.23 for Nantes.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

38 shots · 3.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Nantes
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

2.12 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 1.66 created, 2.15 conceded against Nice
L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against Lille
D 1.52 created, 0.33 conceded against Metz
W 2.89 created, 1.22 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 1.22 created, 1.12 conceded against Angers
W 4.25 created, 1.00 conceded against RC Strasbourg

Nantes

1.09 xG created 1.39 xGA

L 0.84 created, 0.66 conceded against Angers
L 1.67 created, 2.12 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 0.46 created, 2.31 conceded against Metz
D 1.73 created, 0.66 conceded against Auxerre
D 0.92 created, 0.42 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.89 created, 2.17 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Rennais: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Nantes 2:2 Stade Rennais 20/09/2025 xG 2.11 – 1.37

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.