Toulouse 2:2 Stade Rennais: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Wednesday, 29/10/2025 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Toulouse Home 1.55 xG · 15 shots

Stade Rennais Away 1.58 xG · 11 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

50' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.52 xG chance 0–1
54' Mousa Tamari Stade Rennais · 0.08 xG chance 0–2
58' Charlie Cresswell Toulouse · 0.16 xG chance 1–2
85' Aron Dønnum (pen.) Toulouse · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Toulouse Stade Rennais

Shots: 15; 11
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 9; 7
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.39; 1.30
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.28
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.76 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Toulouse
Stade Rennais
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Toulouse

1.61 xG created 1.43 xGA

L 0.81 created, 2.21 conceded against Lille
L 2.33 created, 0.75 conceded against Auxerre
D 2.15 created, 1.46 conceded against Nantes
W 1.16 created, 1.02 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.54 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz
L 0.68 created, 3.08 conceded against AS Monaco

Stade Rennais

1.60 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 2.19 created, 1.71 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 1.37 created, 2.11 conceded against Nantes
D 1.19 created, 1.04 conceded against RC Lens
D 1.11 created, 1.71 conceded against Le Havre
D 2.03 created, 1.51 conceded against Auxerre
L 1.74 created, 0.73 conceded against Nice

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.