xgEdge

Expected goals

Budapest Honvéd FC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

NB I (Hungary) · after 3 matches · updated 1 Oct

Budapest Honvéd FC's attacking and defensive expected goals in NB I (Hungary) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Budapest Honvéd FC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.23 xG per match
#11/12
Attack (xG per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2.70
#2 Debreceni VSC 2.45
#3 Ferencváros TC 2.35
#4 Újpest 2.23
#5 Puskás Akadémia 2.21
#6 Vasas 2.21
#7 MTK Budapest 2.14
#8 ETO FC Győr 1.83
#9 Paksi FC 1.78
#10 Kisvárda FC 1.39
#11 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.23
#12 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.21
League avg
1.99
Total
3.69 3 matches
Defence
1.74 xGA per match
#4/12
Defence (xGA per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.31
#2 Ferencváros TC 1.64
#3 Puskás Akadémia 1.73
#4 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.74
=5 MTK Budapest 1.77
=5 Vasas 1.77
#7 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.79
#8 Újpest 2.08
#9 Debreceni VSC 2.13
#10 Kisvárda FC 2.28
#11 ETO FC Győr 2.68
#12 Paksi FC 2.87
League avg
1.99
Total
5.23 3 matches
xG difference
-0.51 xGD per match
#8/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus +1.39
#2 Ferencváros TC +0.72
#3 Puskás Akadémia +0.48
#4 Vasas +0.44
#5 MTK Budapest +0.37
#6 Debreceni VSC +0.32
#7 Újpest +0.15
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC -0.51
#9 Zalaegerszegi TE -0.58
#10 ETO FC Győr -0.85
#11 Kisvárda FC -0.89
#12 Paksi FC -1.09
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.54 3 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.08 xPts per match
#8/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2.12
#2 Ferencváros TC 1.91
#3 Vasas 1.68
#4 Puskás Akadémia 1.65
#5 MTK Budapest 1.62
#6 Debreceni VSC 1.49
#7 Újpest 1.48
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.08
#9 ETO FC Győr 1.03
#10 Kisvárda FC 0.98
#11 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.96
#12 Paksi FC 0.85
League avg
1.40
Total
3.25 vs 6 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 3 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 3 of 7 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Budapest Honvéd FC's underlying numbers sit close to the NB I (Hungary) average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.51 per match, from about average shot volume at the league's lowest chance quality. After only 3 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 3.69 -0.69 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
5 5.23 -0.23 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 3.25 -0.25 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Budapest Honvéd FC are 0.69 goals below their xG after 3 matches. The gap was widest at -0.82, against Zalaegerszegi TE on Sat 29/08.

Goals
3
xG
3.69
Gap
-0.69
Fri 14/08 Sat 29/08 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 -0.80 -0.82 -0.69 -0.80 -0.02 +0.13 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Budapest Honvéd FC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 14/08 Vasas 1 1.80 -0.80 -0.80
Sat 29/08 Zalaegerszegi TE 1 1.02 -0.02 -0.82
Fri 18/09 Puskás Akadémia 1 0.87 +0.13 -0.69

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Budapest Honvéd FC xG trend

Current form -0.51 npxGD per match

All 3 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches. The worst was against Vasas on Fri 14/08 (-1.48).

npxG · last 3
1.23
npxGA · last 3
1.74
-2 -1 0 +1 -1.48 Fri 14/08 +0.41 Sat 29/08 -0.47 Fri 18/09 -0.51 season avg
Budapest Honvéd FC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 14/08 Vasas 1.80 3.28 -1.48 -1.48
Sat 29/08 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.02 0.61 +0.41 -0.53
Fri 18/09 Puskás Akadémia 0.87 1.34 -0.47 -0.51

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.23 npxG and 1.74 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. Puskás Akadémia Away +0.03
  2. ETO FC Győr Away +0.01
  3. Zalaegerszegi TE Home −0.22
  4. Vasas Home +0.15
  5. Paksi FC Away −0.07
  6. MTK Budapest Home 0.00
  7. Kisvárda FC Away −0.52

Last 5

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 12

  1. Puskás Akadémia Away +0.03
  2. ETO FC Győr Away +0.01
  3. Zalaegerszegi TE Home −0.22
  4. Vasas Home +0.15
  5. Paksi FC Away −0.07

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Budapest Honvéd FC shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Budapest Honvéd FC take 16.0 shots a match (league 15.9) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.12), =6 in NB I (Hungary) for volume and #12 for quality. 56% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.0 shots per match
=6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 22.3
#2 Paksi FC 19.2
#3 Debreceni VSC 17.6
=4 MTK Budapest 17.0
=4 Vasas 17.0
=6 Budapest Honvéd FC 16.0
=6 Ferencváros TC 16.0
#8 Újpest 15.7
#9 Puskás Akadémia 15.0
#10 Kisvárda FC 13.8
#11 ETO FC Győr 11.7
#12 Zalaegerszegi TE 10.6
League avg
15.9
Total
48 shots from 3 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#12/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 ETO FC Győr 0.16
#2 Puskás Akadémia 0.15
#3 Ferencváros TC 0.15
#4 Újpest 0.14
#5 Debreceni VSC 0.14
#6 Vasas 0.13
#7 MTK Budapest 0.13
#8 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.12
#9 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#10 Kisvárda FC 0.10
#11 Paksi FC 0.09
#12 Budapest Honvéd FC 0.08
League avg
0.12
Total
3.69 npxG from 48 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.0 shots per match
#4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 8.7
#2 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 11.5
#3 Vasas 13.4
#4 Budapest Honvéd FC 14.0
#5 MTK Budapest 15.4
#6 Zalaegerszegi TE 16.2
#7 Puskás Akadémia 16.3
#8 Újpest 16.7
#9 Paksi FC 17.2
#10 Debreceni VSC 18.8
#11 Kisvárda FC 19.0
#12 ETO FC Győr 20.3
League avg
15.9
Total
42 shots allowed from 3 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#8/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Puskás Akadémia 0.11
#2 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#3 Debreceni VSC 0.11
#4 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.11
#5 MTK Budapest 0.12
#6 Kisvárda FC 0.12
#7 Újpest 0.12
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC 0.12
#9 ETO FC Győr 0.13
#10 Vasas 0.13
#11 Paksi FC 0.17
#12 Ferencváros TC 0.19
League avg
0.12
Total
5.23 npxGA from 42 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

56% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 27 of 48 shots over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 26 of 42 shots allowed over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Budapest Honvéd FC home and away xG

Budapest Honvéd FC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 3 2 with xG 4 1 with xG
xG / match 1.41 0.87
xGA / match 1.95 1.34
xGD / match -0.54 -0.47
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.15 0.94

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Budapest Honvéd FC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7 3 with xG
xG / match
1.23
xGA / match
1.74
xGD / match
-0.51
Points
6 of 21
  1. Fri 18/09 Puskás Akadémia A xG 0.87 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.47
  2. Sun 06/09 ETO FC Győr A
  3. Sat 29/08 Zalaegerszegi TE H xG 1.02 xGA 0.61 xGD +0.41
  4. Fri 14/08 Vasas H xG 1.80 xGA 3.28 xGD -1.48
  5. Sun 09/08 Paksi FC A
  6. Sat 01/08 MTK Budapest H
  7. Sat 25/07 Kisvárda FC A

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.28. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Budapest Honvéd FC in NB I (Hungary)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect