xgEdge

Expected goals

Kazincbarcikai SC expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

NB I (Hungary) · after 31 matches · updated 4 Oct

Kazincbarcikai SC's attacking and defensive expected goals in NB I (Hungary) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Kazincbarcikai SC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.12 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Paksi FC 2.14
#2 Ferencváros TC 2.13
#3 ETO FC Győr 2.01
#4 MTK Budapest 1.62
#5 Diósgyőri VTK 1.52
#6 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.48
#7 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.47
#8 Újpest 1.46
#9 Puskás Akadémia 1.45
#10 Debreceni VSC 1.34
#11 Kisvárda FC 1.13
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 1.12
League avg
1.57
Total
34.86 31 matches
Defence
2.25 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 0.97
#2 ETO FC Győr 1.19
#3 Kisvárda FC 1.44
#4 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.46
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.49
#6 Újpest 1.59
#7 Debreceni VSC 1.65
#8 Puskás Akadémia 1.66
#9 Paksi FC 1.68
#10 MTK Budapest 1.73
#11 Diósgyőri VTK 1.83
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 2.25
League avg
1.57
Total
69.76 31 matches
xG difference
-1.13 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Ferencváros TC +1.17
#2 ETO FC Győr +0.82
#3 Paksi FC +0.46
#4 Zalaegerszegi TE +0.01
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus -0.01
#6 MTK Budapest -0.11
#7 Újpest -0.13
#8 Puskás Akadémia -0.21
#9 Kisvárda FC -0.30
#10 Diósgyőri VTK -0.31
#11 Debreceni VSC -0.31
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
-34.90 31 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.78 xPts per match
#12/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 2.10
#2 ETO FC Győr 1.91
#3 Paksi FC 1.62
#4 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.39
#5 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.38
#6 MTK Budapest 1.36
#7 Újpest 1.30
#8 Puskás Akadémia 1.30
#9 Diósgyőri VTK 1.20
#10 Debreceni VSC 1.17
#11 Kisvárda FC 1.17
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.78
League avg
1.39
Total
24.10 vs 22 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 31 of 33 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Kazincbarcikai SC's underlying numbers are among the weakest in NB I (Hungary). They rank #12 for xG difference at -1.13 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 29 goals are 5.86 below 34.86 xG, while 22 points are 2.10 below 24.10 xPts — both over the 31 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
29 34.86 -5.86 scored 5.86 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
65 69.76 -4.76 conceded 4.76 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
22 24.10 -2.10 2.10 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Kazincbarcikai SC are 5.86 goals below their xG after 31 matches. The gap was widest at -8.20, against MTK Budapest on Fri 24/04.

Goals
29
xG
34.86
Gap
-5.86
Sat 02/08 Fri 08/08 Sat 16/08 Fri 29/08 Sat 20/09 Sat 27/09 Fri 03/10 Sun 19/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 Sun 09/11 Sat 22/11 Sat 29/11 Sun 07/12 Sun 14/12 Sun 21/12 Sun 25/01 Sat 31/01 Fri 06/02 Sun 15/02 Sat 21/02 Sun 01/03 Sun 08/03 Fri 13/03 Sun 22/03 Sat 04/04 Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Fri 24/04 Sat 02/05 Fri 15/05 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 -0.57 -1.18 -0.72 -1.25 -0.43 -1.12 -0.75 -1.08 -0.86 -0.28 -1.16 -2.11 -2.38 -1.95 -2.33 -1.52 -1.97 -1.24 -2.27 -3.55 -4.56 -4.20 -6.41 -6.06 -5.94 -5.43 -6.85 -7.44 -8.20 -6.72 -5.86 -0.57 -0.61 +0.46 -0.53 +0.82 -0.69 +0.37 -0.33 +0.22 +0.58 -0.88 -0.95 -0.27 +0.43 -0.38 +0.81 -0.45 +0.73 -1.03 -1.28 -1.01 +0.36 -2.21 +0.35 +0.12 +0.51 -1.42 -0.59 -0.76 +1.48 +0.86 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Kazincbarcikai SC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 02/08 Ferencváros TC 0 0.57 -0.57 -0.57
Fri 08/08 Debreceni VSC 1 1.61 -0.61 -1.18
Sat 16/08 Diósgyőri VTK 2 1.54 +0.46 -0.72
Fri 29/08 Paksi FC 0 0.53 -0.53 -1.25
Sat 20/09 Újpest 2 1.18 +0.82 -0.43
Sat 27/09 Zalaegerszegi TE 0 0.69 -0.69 -1.12
Fri 03/10 MTK Budapest 3 2.63 +0.37 -0.75
Sun 19/10 Kisvárda FC 0 0.33 -0.33 -1.08
Sat 25/10 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1 0.78 +0.22 -0.86
Sat 01/11 Puskás Akadémia 1 0.42 +0.58 -0.28
Sun 09/11 Ferencváros TC 1 1.88 -0.88 -1.16
Sat 22/11 Debreceni VSC 1 1.95 -0.95 -2.11
Sat 29/11 Diósgyőri VTK 1 1.27 -0.27 -2.38
Sun 07/12 ETO FC Győr 1 0.57 +0.43 -1.95
Sun 14/12 Paksi FC 0 0.38 -0.38 -2.33
Sun 21/12 Újpest 1 0.19 +0.81 -1.52
Sun 25/01 Zalaegerszegi TE 0 0.45 -0.45 -1.97
Sat 31/01 MTK Budapest 3 2.27 +0.73 -1.24
Fri 06/02 Kisvárda FC 0 1.03 -1.03 -2.27
Sun 15/02 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0 1.28 -1.28 -3.55
Sat 21/02 Puskás Akadémia 0 1.01 -1.01 -4.56
Sun 01/03 Ferencváros TC 1 0.64 +0.36 -4.20
Sun 08/03 Debreceni VSC 0 2.21 -2.21 -6.41
Fri 13/03 Diósgyőri VTK 4 3.65 +0.35 -6.06
Sun 22/03 ETO FC Győr 1 0.88 +0.12 -5.94
Sat 04/04 Paksi FC 1 0.49 +0.51 -5.43
Sat 11/04 Újpest 0 1.42 -1.42 -6.85
Sat 18/04 Zalaegerszegi TE 0 0.59 -0.59 -7.44
Fri 24/04 MTK Budapest 0 0.76 -0.76 -8.20
Sat 02/05 Kisvárda FC 2 0.52 +1.48 -6.72
Fri 15/05 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2 1.14 +0.86 -5.86

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Kazincbarcikai SC xG trend

Current form -1.37 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 31 matches. The worst was against Paksi FC on Fri 29/08 (-5.03).

npxG · last 6
0.79
npxGA · last 6
2.16
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -2.09 Sat 02/08 +0.04 Fri 08/08 -1.21 Sat 16/08 -5.03 Fri 29/08 +0.06 Sat 20/09 -1.60 Sat 27/09 +0.87 Fri 03/10 -1.38 Sun 19/10 +0.16 Sat 25/10 -1.21 Sat 01/11 -1.16 Sun 09/11 -0.05 Sat 22/11 -1.15 Sat 29/11 -2.15 Sun 07/12 -2.84 Sun 14/12 -1.96 Sun 21/12 -0.02 Sun 25/01 -0.31 Sat 31/01 -0.87 Fri 06/02 -0.54 Sun 15/02 -1.37 Sat 21/02 -2.76 Sun 01/03 -0.06 Sun 08/03 +1.83 Fri 13/03 -1.88 Sun 22/03 -3.91 Sat 04/04 -0.21 Sat 11/04 -1.20 Sat 18/04 -0.84 Fri 24/04 +0.19 Sat 02/05 -2.26 Fri 15/05 -1.13 season avg
Kazincbarcikai SC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 02/08 Ferencváros TC 0.57 2.66 -2.09 -2.09
Fri 08/08 Debreceni VSC 1.61 1.57 +0.04 -1.03
Sat 16/08 Diósgyőri VTK 1.54 2.75 -1.21 -1.09
Fri 29/08 Paksi FC 0.53 5.56 -5.03 -2.07
Sat 20/09 Újpest 1.18 1.12 +0.06 -1.65
Sat 27/09 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.69 2.29 -1.60 -1.64
Fri 03/10 MTK Budapest 2.63 1.76 +0.87 -1.28
Sun 19/10 Kisvárda FC 0.33 1.71 -1.38 -1.29
Sat 25/10 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.78 0.62 +0.16 -1.13
Sat 01/11 Puskás Akadémia 0.42 1.63 -1.21 -1.14
Sun 09/11 Ferencváros TC 1.88 3.04 -1.16 -1.14
Sat 22/11 Debreceni VSC 1.95 2.00 -0.05 -1.05
Sat 29/11 Diósgyőri VTK 1.27 2.42 -1.15 -1.06
Sun 07/12 ETO FC Győr 0.57 2.72 -2.15 -1.14
Sun 14/12 Paksi FC 0.38 3.22 -2.84 -1.25
Sun 21/12 Újpest 0.19 2.15 -1.96 -1.29
Sun 25/01 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.45 0.47 -0.02 -1.22
Sat 31/01 MTK Budapest 2.27 2.58 -0.31 -1.17
Fri 06/02 Kisvárda FC 1.03 1.90 -0.87 -1.15
Sun 15/02 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.28 1.82 -0.54 -1.12
Sat 21/02 Puskás Akadémia 1.01 2.38 -1.37 -1.13
Sun 01/03 Ferencváros TC 0.64 3.40 -2.76 -1.21
Sun 08/03 Debreceni VSC 2.21 2.27 -0.06 -1.16
Fri 13/03 Diósgyőri VTK 3.65 1.82 +1.83 -1.03
Sun 22/03 ETO FC Győr 0.88 2.76 -1.88 -1.07
Sat 04/04 Paksi FC 0.49 4.40 -3.91 -1.18
Sat 11/04 Újpest 1.42 1.63 -0.21 -1.14
Sat 18/04 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.59 1.79 -1.20 -1.14
Fri 24/04 MTK Budapest 0.76 1.60 -0.84 -1.13
Sat 02/05 Kisvárda FC 0.35 0.16 +0.19 -1.09
Fri 15/05 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.14 3.40 -2.26 -1.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.12 npxG and 2.25 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 33 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 33 matches · number 1 hardest of 12

  1. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Away +0.22
  2. Kisvárda FC Home −0.34
  3. MTK Budapest Home −0.14
  4. Zalaegerszegi TE Away +0.10
  5. Újpest Home −0.24
  6. Paksi FC Away +0.26
  7. ETO FC Győr Home +0.52
  8. Diósgyőri VTK Away −0.35
  9. Debreceni VSC Home +0.10
  10. Ferencváros TC Away +0.70
  11. Puskás Akadémia Home +0.04
  12. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Home +0.22
  13. Kisvárda FC Away −0.34
  14. MTK Budapest Away −0.14
  15. Zalaegerszegi TE Home +0.10
  16. Újpest Away −0.24
  17. Paksi FC Home +0.26
  18. ETO FC Győr Away +0.52
  19. ETO FC Győr Home +0.52
  20. Diósgyőri VTK Home −0.35
  21. Debreceni VSC Away +0.10
  22. Ferencváros TC Home +0.70
  23. Puskás Akadémia Home +0.04
  24. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Away +0.22
  25. Kisvárda FC Home −0.34
  26. MTK Budapest Home −0.14
  27. Zalaegerszegi TE Away +0.10
  28. Újpest Home −0.24
  29. Paksi FC Away +0.26
  30. Diósgyőri VTK Away −0.35
  31. Debreceni VSC Home +0.10
  32. Ferencváros TC Away +0.70
  33. Puskás Akadémia Away +0.04

Last 5

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 12

  1. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Away +0.22
  2. Kisvárda FC Home −0.34
  3. MTK Budapest Home −0.14
  4. Zalaegerszegi TE Away +0.10
  5. Újpest Home −0.24

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Kazincbarcikai SC shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Kazincbarcikai SC take 9.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #12 in NB I (Hungary) for volume and #4 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.0 shots per match
#12/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 ETO FC Győr 16.1
#2 Ferencváros TC 15.6
#3 Paksi FC 15.4
#4 Debreceni VSC 14.1
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 14.0
#6 MTK Budapest 13.6
#7 Puskás Akadémia 12.8
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 12.8
#9 Újpest 12.7
#10 Diósgyőri VTK 11.0
#11 Kisvárda FC 10.6
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 9.0
League avg
13.2
Total
280 shots from 31 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#4/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Paksi FC 0.14
#2 Diósgyőri VTK 0.14
#3 Ferencváros TC 0.14
#4 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.12
#5 ETO FC Győr 0.12
#6 MTK Budapest 0.12
#7 Újpest 0.11
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#9 Puskás Akadémia 0.11
#10 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.11
#11 Kisvárda FC 0.11
#12 Debreceni VSC 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
34.69 npxG from 280 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.0 shots per match
#12/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 10.2
#2 ETO FC Győr 10.5
#3 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 11.8
#4 Puskás Akadémia 12.1
#5 Kisvárda FC 12.3
#6 Paksi FC 12.8
#7 Debreceni VSC 13.1
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 13.3
#9 Diósgyőri VTK 13.8
#10 Újpest 14.4
#11 MTK Budapest 15.7
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 18.0
League avg
13.2
Total
558 shots allowed from 31 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#7/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Ferencváros TC 0.10
#2 MTK Budapest 0.11
#3 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#4 Újpest 0.11
#5 ETO FC Győr 0.11
#6 Kisvárda FC 0.12
#7 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.12
#8 Debreceni VSC 0.13
#9 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.13
#10 Paksi FC 0.13
#11 Diósgyőri VTK 0.13
#12 Puskás Akadémia 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
69.60 npxGA from 558 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 184 of 280 shots over 31 matches

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 359 of 558 shots allowed over 31 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Kazincbarcikai SC home and away xG

Kazincbarcikai SC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 17 16 with xG 16 15 with xG
xG / match 1.14 1.11
xGA / match 1.86 2.67
xGD / match -0.72 -1.56
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.91 0.64

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Kazincbarcikai SC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
0.89
xGA / match
1.75
xGD / match
-0.86
Points
5 of 15
  1. Fri 15/05 Nyiregyháza Spartacus A Weakest underlying xG 1.14 xGA 3.40 xGD -2.26
  2. Sat 02/05 Kisvárda FC H Best underlying xG 0.52 xGA 0.32 xGD +0.20
  3. Fri 24/04 MTK Budapest H xG 0.76 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.84
  4. Sat 18/04 Zalaegerszegi TE A xG 0.59 xGA 1.79 xGD -1.20
  5. Sat 11/04 Újpest H xG 1.42 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.21

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.40. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Kazincbarcikai SC in NB I (Hungary)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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