What Arda Kardzhali have left to play in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of Arda Kardzhali in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and 2 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.20 projected xG a match from them and 5.4 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Ludogorets away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 80/99 and a defence rated 69/99.
The run at a glance
FK Spartak Varna away Sat 31/10
Projected xG 1.62 – 1.02 Arda Kardzhali win 50%
Ludogorets away Sat 10/10
Projected xG 0.96 – 1.58 Arda Kardzhali win 20%
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Open the match page for Ludogorets
Sat 10/10 Away Ludogorets Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 0.96 – 1.58 Projected xPts 0.90- Ludogorets
- 50%
- Draw
- 29%
- Arda Kardzhali
- 20%
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Open the match page for Levski Sofia
Sat 24/10 Home Levski Sofia Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 77/99Projected xG 0.93 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.03- Arda Kardzhali
- 23%
- Draw
- 33%
- Levski Sofia
- 44%
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Open the match page for FK Spartak Varna
Sat 31/10 Away FK Spartak Varna Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.62 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.80- FK Spartak Varna
- 21%
- Draw
- 29%
- Arda Kardzhali
- 50%
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Open the match page for FK Septemvri Sofia
Sat 07/11 Home FK Septemvri Sofia Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 55/99Projected xG 1.28 – 0.87 Projected xPts 1.66- Arda Kardzhali
- 44%
- Draw
- 33%
- FK Septemvri Sofia
- 22%
Parva Liga (Bulgaria) publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
Parva Liga (Bulgaria) ends in play-offs, and their fixtures are set once the regular season's table decides who plays whom.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Parva Liga (Bulgaria).
Fixture difficulty in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
Reads each matchup for Arda Kardzhali: the band is cut from the model's chances of Arda Kardzhali winning and losing the match, so Arda Kardzhali's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
+0.15 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Parva Liga (Bulgaria)'s average club, with no venue and nothing of Arda Kardzhali's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
+0.15 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- Ludogorets Away +0.67
- Levski Sofia Home +0.67
- FK Spartak Varna Away −0.59
- FK Septemvri Sofia Home −0.17
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.