xgEdge

Expected goals

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Parva Liga (Bulgaria) · after 36 matches · updated 4 Oct

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich's attacking and defensive expected goals in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.04 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Ludogorets 1.91
#2 Levski Sofia 1.87
#3 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.57
#4 CSKA Sofia 1.50
#5 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.35
#6 Botev Plovdiv 1.31
#7 Cherno More Varna 1.28
#8 Arda Kardzhali 1.26
#9 Slavia Sofia 1.16
#10 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.15
#11 Beroe Stara Zagora 1.09
#12 FK Septemvri Sofia 1.08
#13 Botev Vratsa 1.06
#14 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.04
#15 PFK Montana 1921 0.97
#16 FK Spartak Varna 0.90
League avg
1.28
Total
37.32 36 matches
Defence
1.27 xGA per match
#8/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Levski Sofia 0.70
#2 Ludogorets 0.73
#3 Arda Kardzhali 0.96
#4 CSKA Sofia 0.96
#5 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.09
#6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.16
#7 Botev Vratsa 1.22
#8 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.27
#9 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.30
#10 Cherno More Varna 1.34
#11 Botev Plovdiv 1.39
#12 PFK Montana 1921 1.46
#13 Slavia Sofia 1.56
#14 Beroe Stara Zagora 1.67
#15 FK Septemvri Sofia 1.79
#16 FK Spartak Varna 1.79
League avg
1.28
Total
45.80 36 matches
xG difference
-0.24 xGD per match
#11/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Ludogorets +1.19
#2 Levski Sofia +1.17
#3 CSKA Sofia +0.54
#4 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.48
#5 Arda Kardzhali +0.30
#6 Lokomotiv Sofia +0.06
#7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv -0.01
#8 Cherno More Varna -0.06
#9 Botev Plovdiv -0.08
#10 Botev Vratsa -0.16
#11 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich -0.24
#12 Slavia Sofia -0.41
#13 PFK Montana 1921 -0.48
#14 Beroe Stara Zagora -0.58
#15 FK Septemvri Sofia -0.71
#16 FK Spartak Varna -0.89
League avg
0.00
Total
-8.48 36 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.19 xPts per match
#11/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Ludogorets 2.19
#2 Levski Sofia 2.12
#3 CSKA Sofia 1.71
#4 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.69
#5 Arda Kardzhali 1.56
#6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.41
#7 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.41
#8 Botev Plovdiv 1.30
#9 Botev Vratsa 1.29
#10 Cherno More Varna 1.24
#11 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.19
#12 Slavia Sofia 1.12
#13 PFK Montana 1921 1.07
#14 Beroe Stara Zagora 1.02
#15 FK Septemvri Sofia 0.94
#16 FK Spartak Varna 0.84
League avg
1.38
Total
43.01 vs 31 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 36 of 37 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Parva Liga (Bulgaria). They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.24 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 27 goals are 10.32 below 37.32 xG, while 30 points are 13.01 below 43.01 xPts — both over the 36 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.38 xG from penalties
27 37.32 -10.32 scored 10.32 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
51 45.80 +5.20 conceded 5.20 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
30 43.01 -13.01 13.01 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich are 10.32 goals below their xG after 36 matches.

Goals
27
xG
37.32
Gap
-10.32
Mon 21/07 Mon 28/07 Sat 02/08 Fri 08/08 Mon 18/08 Sun 24/08 Fri 29/08 Mon 15/09 Sat 20/09 Mon 29/09 Sun 05/10 Sun 19/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 Fri 07/11 Sun 23/11 Sun 30/11 Thu 04/12 Mon 08/12 Sun 08/02 Mon 16/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Thu 05/03 Sun 08/03 Mon 16/03 Sun 22/03 Sun 05/04 Fri 10/04 Tue 14/04 Mon 27/04 Fri 01/05 Wed 06/05 Sun 10/05 Wed 13/05 Mon 18/05 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 -0.16 +0.27 +0.32 +1.48 +1.70 +0.34 -0.66 -1.43 -1.54 -1.92 -3.54 -3.92 -4.12 -3.50 -4.15 -3.70 -4.50 -4.78 -5.52 -4.16 -4.61 -4.54 -3.81 -3.05 -4.49 -5.13 -5.43 -4.17 -4.63 -5.21 -6.31 -7.64 -8.90 -9.80 -9.78 -10.32 -0.16 +0.43 +0.05 +1.16 +0.22 -1.36 -1.00 -0.77 -0.11 -0.38 -1.62 -0.38 -0.20 +0.62 -0.65 +0.45 -0.80 -0.28 -0.74 +1.36 -0.45 +0.07 +0.73 +0.76 -1.44 -0.64 -0.30 +1.26 -0.46 -0.58 -1.10 -1.33 -1.26 -0.90 +0.02 -0.54 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Dobrudzha Dobrich: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 21/07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 0.16 -0.16 -0.16
Mon 28/07 Slavia Sofia 2 1.57 +0.43 +0.27
Sat 02/08 Ludogorets 1 0.95 +0.05 +0.32
Fri 08/08 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 0.84 +1.16 +1.48
Mon 18/08 FK Septemvri Sofia 1 0.78 +0.22 +1.70
Sun 24/08 Botev Vratsa 0 1.36 -1.36 +0.34
Fri 29/08 PFK Montana 1921 0 1.00 -1.00 -0.66
Mon 15/09 Cherno More Varna 0 0.77 -0.77 -1.43
Sat 20/09 Lokomotiv Sofia 2 2.11 -0.11 -1.54
Mon 29/09 Beroe Stara Zagora 0 0.38 -0.38 -1.92
Sun 05/10 Arda Kardzhali 0 1.62 -1.62 -3.54
Sun 19/10 CSKA Sofia 0 0.38 -0.38 -3.92
Sat 25/10 Levski Sofia 0 0.20 -0.20 -4.12
Sat 01/11 FK Spartak Varna 2 1.38 +0.62 -3.50
Fri 07/11 Botev Plovdiv 1 1.65 -0.65 -4.15
Sun 23/11 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 0.55 +0.45 -3.70
Sun 30/11 Slavia Sofia 1 1.80 -0.80 -4.50
Thu 04/12 Ludogorets 0 0.28 -0.28 -4.78
Mon 08/12 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 0.74 -0.74 -5.52
Sun 08/02 FK Septemvri Sofia 3 1.64 +1.36 -4.16
Mon 16/02 Botev Vratsa 0 0.45 -0.45 -4.61
Sat 21/02 PFK Montana 1921 1 0.93 +0.07 -4.54
Sat 28/02 Cherno More Varna 2 1.27 +0.73 -3.81
Thu 05/03 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 0.24 +0.76 -3.05
Sun 08/03 Beroe Stara Zagora 1 2.44 -1.44 -4.49
Mon 16/03 Arda Kardzhali 0 0.64 -0.64 -5.13
Sun 22/03 CSKA Sofia 0 0.30 -0.30 -5.43
Sun 05/04 Levski Sofia 2 0.74 +1.26 -4.17
Fri 10/04 FK Spartak Varna 0 0.46 -0.46 -4.63
Tue 14/04 Botev Plovdiv 0 0.58 -0.58 -5.21
Mon 27/04 PFK Montana 1921 0 1.10 -1.10 -6.31
Fri 01/05 Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1.33 -1.33 -7.64
Wed 06/05 FK Spartak Varna 1 2.26 -1.26 -8.90
Sun 10/05 Beroe Stara Zagora 0 0.90 -0.90 -9.80
Wed 13/05 Slavia Sofia 2 1.98 +0.02 -9.78
Mon 18/05 Botev Vratsa 1 1.54 -0.54 -10.32

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich xG trend

Current form +0.40 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 36 matches. The worst was against Lokomotiv Sofia on Thu 05/03 (-1.83).

npxG · last 6
1.39
npxGA · last 6
0.99
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.91 Mon 21/07 +0.74 Mon 28/07 -1.72 Sat 02/08 -0.47 Fri 08/08 -0.88 Mon 18/08 -0.05 Sun 24/08 -0.12 Fri 29/08 -0.90 Mon 15/09 +0.67 Sat 20/09 -0.30 Mon 29/09 +0.08 Sun 05/10 -0.13 Sun 19/10 -1.66 Sat 25/10 +1.35 Sat 01/11 +0.34 Fri 07/11 -0.35 Sun 23/11 -0.34 Sun 30/11 -1.13 Thu 04/12 +0.00 Mon 08/12 +1.13 Sun 08/02 -0.44 Mon 16/02 +0.47 Sat 21/02 +0.63 Sat 28/02 -1.83 Thu 05/03 +1.51 Sun 08/03 -0.74 Mon 16/03 -0.84 Sun 22/03 -0.06 Sun 05/04 -0.76 Fri 10/04 -1.16 Tue 14/04 -0.57 Mon 27/04 -0.53 Fri 01/05 +1.87 Wed 06/05 +0.42 Sun 10/05 +0.92 Wed 13/05 +0.30 Mon 18/05 -0.15 season avg
FK Dobrudzha Dobrich: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 21/07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.16 1.07 -0.91 -0.91
Mon 28/07 Slavia Sofia 1.57 0.83 +0.74 -0.08
Sat 02/08 Ludogorets 0.96 2.68 -1.72 -0.63
Fri 08/08 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0.84 1.31 -0.47 -0.59
Mon 18/08 FK Septemvri Sofia 0.78 1.66 -0.88 -0.65
Sun 24/08 Botev Vratsa 1.36 1.41 -0.05 -0.55
Fri 29/08 PFK Montana 1921 1.00 1.12 -0.12 -0.49
Mon 15/09 Cherno More Varna 0.77 1.67 -0.90 -0.54
Sat 20/09 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.35 0.68 +0.67 -0.40
Mon 29/09 Beroe Stara Zagora 0.38 0.68 -0.30 -0.39
Sun 05/10 Arda Kardzhali 1.62 1.54 +0.08 -0.35
Sun 19/10 CSKA Sofia 0.38 0.51 -0.13 -0.33
Sat 25/10 Levski Sofia 0.20 1.86 -1.66 -0.43
Sat 01/11 FK Spartak Varna 1.38 0.03 +1.35 -0.31
Fri 07/11 Botev Plovdiv 1.65 1.31 +0.34 -0.26
Sun 23/11 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.55 0.90 -0.35 -0.27
Sun 30/11 Slavia Sofia 1.80 2.14 -0.34 -0.27
Thu 04/12 Ludogorets 0.28 1.41 -1.13 -0.32
Mon 08/12 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0.74 0.74 +0.00 -0.30
Sun 08/02 FK Septemvri Sofia 1.64 0.51 +1.13 -0.23
Mon 16/02 Botev Vratsa 0.45 0.89 -0.44 -0.24
Sat 21/02 PFK Montana 1921 0.93 0.46 +0.47 -0.21
Sat 28/02 Cherno More Varna 1.37 0.74 +0.63 -0.17
Thu 05/03 Lokomotiv Sofia 0.25 2.08 -1.83 -0.24
Sun 08/03 Beroe Stara Zagora 2.45 0.94 +1.51 -0.17
Mon 16/03 Arda Kardzhali 0.65 1.39 -0.74 -0.19
Sun 22/03 CSKA Sofia 0.30 1.14 -0.84 -0.22
Sun 05/04 Levski Sofia 0.74 0.80 -0.06 -0.21
Fri 10/04 FK Spartak Varna 0.46 1.22 -0.76 -0.23
Tue 14/04 Botev Plovdiv 0.58 1.74 -1.16 -0.26
Mon 27/04 PFK Montana 1921 1.10 1.67 -0.57 -0.27
Fri 01/05 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.33 1.86 -0.53 -0.28
Wed 06/05 FK Spartak Varna 2.26 0.39 +1.87 -0.22
Sun 10/05 Beroe Stara Zagora 0.90 0.48 +0.42 -0.20
Wed 13/05 Slavia Sofia 1.22 0.30 +0.92 -0.16
Mon 18/05 Botev Vratsa 1.54 1.24 +0.30 -0.15

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.00 npxG and 1.15 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 16 hardest of 16 in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
−0.07 xG vs league average
Over 37 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 15 in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)
−0.42 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.07 xG vs league average · over 37 matches · number 16 hardest of 16

  1. FK Septemvri Sofia Away −0.31
  2. Botev Vratsa Home −0.14
  3. Slavia Sofia Away −0.59
  4. Beroe Stara Zagora Home −0.43
  5. FK Spartak Varna Away −0.63
  6. Lokomotiv Sofia Home −0.07
  7. PFK Montana 1921 Away −0.42
  8. Botev Plovdiv Home +0.23
  9. FK Spartak Varna Away −0.63
  10. Levski Sofia Home +0.69
  11. CSKA Sofia Away +0.54
  12. Arda Kardzhali Away +0.17
  13. Beroe Stara Zagora Home −0.43
  14. Lokomotiv Sofia Away −0.07
  15. Cherno More Varna Home −0.20
  16. PFK Montana 1921 Home −0.42
  17. Botev Vratsa Away −0.14
  18. FK Septemvri Sofia Home −0.31
  19. FC CSKA 1948 Sofia Away +0.36
  20. Ludogorets Home +0.85
  21. Slavia Sofia Away −0.59
  22. Lokomotiv Plovdiv Home +0.02
  23. Botev Plovdiv Away +0.23
  24. FK Spartak Varna Home −0.63
  25. Levski Sofia Away +0.69
  26. CSKA Sofia Home +0.54
  27. Arda Kardzhali Home +0.17
  28. Beroe Stara Zagora Away −0.43
  29. Lokomotiv Sofia Home −0.07
  30. Cherno More Varna Away −0.20
  31. PFK Montana 1921 Away −0.42
  32. Botev Vratsa Home −0.14
  33. FK Septemvri Sofia Away −0.31
  34. FC CSKA 1948 Sofia Home +0.36
  35. Ludogorets Away +0.85
  36. Slavia Sofia Home −0.59
  37. Lokomotiv Plovdiv Away +0.02

Last 5

−0.42 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 15

  1. FK Septemvri Sofia Away −0.31
  2. Botev Vratsa Home −0.14
  3. Slavia Sofia Away −0.59
  4. Beroe Stara Zagora Home −0.43
  5. FK Spartak Varna Away −0.63

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FK Dobrudzha Dobrich take 10.4 shots a match (league 11.4) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) for volume and #12 for quality. 53% of their shots come from inside the box (league 56%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.4 shots per match
#11/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ludogorets 15.9
#2 CSKA Sofia 15.4
#3 Levski Sofia 15.2
#4 Botev Plovdiv 13.0
#5 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 11.7
#6 Slavia Sofia 11.5
#7 Arda Kardzhali 11.0
#8 Cherno More Varna 10.9
#9 Lokomotiv Sofia 10.8
#10 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10.5
#11 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 10.4
#12 Beroe Stara Zagora 9.5
#13 Botev Vratsa 9.4
#14 PFK Montana 1921 9.1
=15 FK Septemvri Sofia 8.9
=15 FK Spartak Varna 8.9
League avg
11.4
Total
375 shots from 36 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#12/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0.12
#2 Lokomotiv Sofia 0.12
#3 Arda Kardzhali 0.11
#4 Levski Sofia 0.11
#5 FK Septemvri Sofia 0.11
#6 Beroe Stara Zagora 0.11
#7 Ludogorets 0.11
#8 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.11
#9 Cherno More Varna 0.11
#10 Botev Vratsa 0.11
#11 PFK Montana 1921 0.10
#12 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 0.10
#13 Botev Plovdiv 0.09
#14 Slavia Sofia 0.09
#15 CSKA Sofia 0.09
#16 FK Spartak Varna 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
35.94 npxG from 375 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.5 shots per match
#5/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Levski Sofia 7.2
#2 Ludogorets 7.6
#3 CSKA Sofia 8.3
#4 Arda Kardzhali 9.5
#5 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 9.5
#6 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 10.6
#7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10.9
#8 Botev Vratsa 11.1
#9 Cherno More Varna 11.4
#10 PFK Montana 1921 11.4
#11 Botev Plovdiv 11.8
#12 Lokomotiv Sofia 12.1
#13 FK Septemvri Sofia 13.4
#14 Slavia Sofia 14.8
#15 FK Spartak Varna 15.6
#16 Beroe Stara Zagora 16.1
League avg
11.4
Total
342 shots allowed from 36 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#16/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Parva Liga (Bulgaria), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0.09
#2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.09
#3 Levski Sofia 0.10
#4 Ludogorets 0.10
#5 Arda Kardzhali 0.10
#6 Lokomotiv Sofia 0.10
#7 Beroe Stara Zagora 0.10
#8 Slavia Sofia 0.10
#9 Botev Plovdiv 0.10
#10 Botev Vratsa 0.10
#11 CSKA Sofia 0.11
#12 FK Spartak Varna 0.11
#13 Cherno More Varna 0.11
#14 PFK Montana 1921 0.12
#15 FK Septemvri Sofia 0.12
#16 FK Dobrudzha Dobrich 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
41.40 npxGA from 342 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

53% inside the box

League avg 56%

From 200 of 375 shots over 36 matches

Shots allowed, location

60% allowed inside the box

League avg 56%

From 205 of 342 shots allowed over 36 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich home and away xG

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 18 19 18 with xG
xG / match 1.19 0.88
xGA / match 0.97 1.58
xGD / match +0.23 -0.70
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.53 0.86

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Dobrudzha Dobrich match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5 4 with xG
xG / match
1.67
xGA / match
0.60
xGD / match
+1.07
Points
5 of 15
  1. Fri 22/05 FK Septemvri Sofia A
  2. Mon 18/05 Botev Vratsa H xG 1.54 xGA 1.24 xGD +0.30
  3. Wed 13/05 Slavia Sofia A xG 1.98 P xGA 0.30 xGD +1.68
  4. Sun 10/05 Beroe Stara Zagora H xG 0.90 xGA 0.48 xGD +0.42
  5. Wed 06/05 FK Spartak Varna A xG 2.26 xGA 0.39 xGD +1.87

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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