Aston Villa 0:3 Crystal Palace: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa Home 1.14 xG · 13 shots

Crystal Palace Away 2.65 xG · 6 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

21' Jean-Philippe Mateta (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
68' Marc Guéhi Crystal Palace · 0.05 xG chance 0–2
78' Ismaïla Sarr Crystal Palace · 0.54 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Crystal Palace

Shots: 13; 6
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.45
Open play xG: 1.06; 1.33
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.54
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.14 for Aston Villa and 1.86 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 3.85 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aston Villa

0.72 xG created 1.35 xGA

D 0.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.23 created, 1.27 conceded against Brentford

Crystal Palace

0.88 xG created 1.27 xGA

D 0.66 created, 1.60 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.10 created, 0.93 conceded against Nottingham Forest

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.